COL @ AZ Home Runs matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026

COL

Colorado Rockies

4–5

Final

Arizona Diamondbacks

◆ Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 94°F ClearWind 1 mph, Varies

COL Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 BF

Season.018111 BF

Last 2 Years.024715 BF

wOBA allowed.326

Hard-Hit %60%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 BF

Season.048105 BF

Last 2 Years.040730 BF

wOBA allowed.366

Hard-Hit %45%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA

Season.019104 PA

Last 2 Years.022536 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.018111 PA

Last 2 Years.024715 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.004224 PA

Season.029763 PA

Last 2 Years.0323586 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.114

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950

BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA

Season.058138 PA

Last 2 Years.055686 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.048105 PA

Last 2 Years.040730 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022225 PA

Season.025763 PA

Last 2 Years.0294201 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.218

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+370

BRBetRivers+360

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA

Season.038158 PA

Last 2 Years.038158 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.018111 PA

Last 2 Years.024715 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.004224 PA

Season.029763 PA

Last 2 Years.0323586 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.148

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+700

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.00082 PA

Last 2 Years.006513 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.048105 PA

Last 2 Years.040730 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022225 PA

Season.025763 PA

Last 2 Years.0294201 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances15

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.103

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BRBetRivers+1000

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA

Season.015137 PA

Last 2 Years.024250 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.018111 PA

Last 2 Years.024715 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.004224 PA

Season.029763 PA

Last 2 Years.0323586 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2.4× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.124

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950

BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA

Season.007142 PA

Last 2 Years.028776 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.048105 PA

Last 2 Years.040730 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022225 PA

Season.025763 PA

Last 2 Years.0294201 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375

Plate Appearances16

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.018111 PA

Last 2 Years.024715 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.004224 PA

Season.029763 PA

Last 2 Years.0323586 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.134

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.0004 PA

Last 2 Years.00015 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.048105 PA

Last 2 Years.040730 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022225 PA

Season.025763 PA

Last 2 Years.0294201 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.125

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950

BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.009115 PA

Last 2 Years.008237 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.048105 PA

Last 2 Years.040730 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022225 PA

Season.025763 PA

Last 2 Years.0294201 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.1

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

AZ Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 BF

Season.061115 BF

Last 2 Years.040597 BF

wOBA allowed.511

Hard-Hit %49%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 BF

Season.016122 BF

Last 2 Years.036614 BF

wOBA allowed.336

Hard-Hit %37%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA

Season.043141 PA

Last 2 Years.054744 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.061115 PA

Last 2 Years.040597 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.037189 PA

Season.043507 PA

Last 2 Years.0402556 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.348

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.245

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+390

CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA

Season.046129 PA

Last 2 Years.046905 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.061115 PA

Last 2 Years.040597 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.037189 PA

Season.043507 PA

Last 2 Years.0402556 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.346

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.348

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 10-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.241

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+370

BRBetRivers+335

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA

Season.008131 PA

Last 2 Years.020883 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.061115 PA

Last 2 Years.040597 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.037189 PA

Season.043507 PA

Last 2 Years.0402556 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.348

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.417

Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850

BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA

Season.039128 PA

Last 2 Years.030771 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.016122 PA

Last 2 Years.036614 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020247 PA

Season.022784 PA

Last 2 Years.0324010 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.191

Plate Appearances21

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~2.6× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.134

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625

BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00044 PA

Season.016123 PA

Last 2 Years.013313 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.061115 PA

Last 2 Years.040597 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.037189 PA

Season.043507 PA

Last 2 Years.0402556 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.348

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.083

Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1100

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.00080 PA

Last 2 Years.024458 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.016122 PA

Last 2 Years.036614 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020247 PA

Season.022784 PA

Last 2 Years.0324010 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.118

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850

BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.03295 PA

Last 2 Years.03295 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.016122 PA

Last 2 Years.036614 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020247 PA

Season.022784 PA

Last 2 Years.0324010 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.132

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750

BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA

Season.02737 PA

Last 2 Years.039180 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.016122 PA

Last 2 Years.036614 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020247 PA

Season.022784 PA

Last 2 Years.0324010 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+850

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA

Season.00033 PA

Last 2 Years.00033 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.016122 PA

Last 2 Years.036614 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020247 PA

Season.022784 PA

Last 2 Years.0324010 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.