SEA @ KC Home Runs matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026

SEA

Seattle Mariners

6–8

Final

Kansas City Royals

◆ Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 78°F SunnyWind 4 mph, In From RF

SEA Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00036 BF

Season.000164 BF

Last 2 Years.031840 BF

wOBA allowed.326

Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 BF

Season.02482 BF

Last 2 Years.022597 BF

wOBA allowed.313

Hard-Hit %28%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA

Season.039128 PA

Last 2 Years.020798 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA

Season.000164 PA

Last 2 Years.031840 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024211 PA

Season.031638 PA

Last 2 Years.0252789 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.308

Plate Appearances13

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02343 PA

Season.012169 PA

Last 2 Years.038982 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA

Season.02482 PA

Last 2 Years.022597 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.021188 PA

Season.023573 PA

Last 2 Years.0283692 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.133

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550

CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.033154 PA

Last 2 Years.040877 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA

Season.000164 PA

Last 2 Years.031840 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024211 PA

Season.031638 PA

Last 2 Years.0252789 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.156

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575

CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA

Season.018164 PA

Last 2 Years.029977 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA

Season.02482 PA

Last 2 Years.022597 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.021188 PA

Season.023573 PA

Last 2 Years.0283692 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances15

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.137

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+700

CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA

Season.075134 PA

Last 2 Years.052593 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA

Season.000164 PA

Last 2 Years.031840 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024211 PA

Season.031638 PA

Last 2 Years.0252789 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.182

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550

CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA

Season.007139 PA

Last 2 Years.015329 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA

Season.000164 PA

Last 2 Years.031840 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024211 PA

Season.031638 PA

Last 2 Years.0252789 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.085

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA

Season.036112 PA

Last 2 Years.041438 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA

Season.000164 PA

Last 2 Years.031840 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024211 PA

Season.031638 PA

Last 2 Years.0252789 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2.3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.141

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+700

CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.16712 PA

Season.04842 PA

Last 2 Years.033329 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA

Season.02482 PA

Last 2 Years.022597 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.021188 PA

Season.023573 PA

Last 2 Years.0283692 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+500

BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA

Season.10010 PA

Last 2 Years.10010 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA

Season.000164 PA

Last 2 Years.031840 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024211 PA

Season.031638 PA

Last 2 Years.0252789 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.116

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+700

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

KC Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 BF

Season.032127 BF

Last 2 Years.034714 BF

wOBA allowed.270

Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00024 BF

Season.019106 BF

Last 2 Years.033667 BF

wOBA allowed.261

Hard-Hit %29%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA

Season.006176 PA

Last 2 Years.015998 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA

Season.019106 PA

Last 2 Years.033667 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033183 PA

Season.024672 PA

Last 2 Years.0254139 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.09

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06844 PA

Season.033184 PA

Last 2 Years.0451109 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA

Season.019106 PA

Last 2 Years.033667 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033183 PA

Season.024672 PA

Last 2 Years.0254139 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.179

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+500

CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.033152 PA

Last 2 Years.044946 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.032127 PA

Last 2 Years.034714 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031194 PA

Season.034755 PA

Last 2 Years.0343845 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.156

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+500

CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA

Season.033154 PA

Last 2 Years.044999 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA

Season.019106 PA

Last 2 Years.033667 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033183 PA

Season.024672 PA

Last 2 Years.0254139 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.148

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+500

CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA

Season.045132 PA

Last 2 Years.048187 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.032127 PA

Last 2 Years.034714 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031194 PA

Season.034755 PA

Last 2 Years.0343845 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.153

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+500

CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.0003 PA

Last 2 Years.00025 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA

Season.019106 PA

Last 2 Years.033667 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033183 PA

Season.024672 PA

Last 2 Years.0254139 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.117

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA

Season.017116 PA

Last 2 Years.017419 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.032127 PA

Last 2 Years.034714 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031194 PA

Season.034755 PA

Last 2 Years.0343845 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.103

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1150

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA

Season.03390 PA

Last 2 Years.027527 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.032127 PA

Last 2 Years.034714 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031194 PA

Season.034755 PA

Last 2 Years.0343845 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+700

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA

Season.025119 PA

Last 2 Years.016688 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.032127 PA

Last 2 Years.034714 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031194 PA

Season.034755 PA

Last 2 Years.0343845 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.089

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950

BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.