MIN @ BOS Home Runs matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026

MIN

Minnesota Twins

6–5

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 57°F OvercastWind 7 mph, In From RF

MIN Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 BF

Season.02292 BF

Last 2 Years.030701 BF

wOBA allowed.267

Hard-Hit %29%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 BF

Season.02871 BF

Last 2 Years.033697 BF

wOBA allowed.336

Hard-Hit %21%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA

Season.01286 PA

Last 2 Years.003331 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.02871 PA

Last 2 Years.033697 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029209 PA

Season.025788 PA

Last 2 Years.0223287 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.096

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1500

BRBetRivers+1200

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.025119 PA

Last 2 Years.027601 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.02292 PA

Last 2 Years.030701 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039129 PA

Season.043417 PA

Last 2 Years.0262002 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.109

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA

Season.008122 PA

Last 2 Years.034864 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.02292 PA

Last 2 Years.030701 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039129 PA

Season.043417 PA

Last 2 Years.0262002 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances10

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1150

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05040 PA

Season.031129 PA

Last 2 Years.038808 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.02292 PA

Last 2 Years.030701 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039129 PA

Season.043417 PA

Last 2 Years.0262002 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.233

Plate Appearances30

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~2.4× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.139

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA

Season.024123 PA

Last 2 Years.049492 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.02292 PA

Last 2 Years.030701 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039129 PA

Season.043417 PA

Last 2 Years.0262002 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.141

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA

Season.01380 PA

Last 2 Years.027556 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.02292 PA

Last 2 Years.030701 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039129 PA

Season.043417 PA

Last 2 Years.0262002 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.109

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1300

CZRCaesars+1100

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.0004 PA

Last 2 Years.027480 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.02871 PA

Last 2 Years.033697 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029209 PA

Season.025788 PA

Last 2 Years.0223287 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances20

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.102

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1150

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA

Season.00045 PA

Last 2 Years.033180 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.02292 PA

Last 2 Years.030701 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039129 PA

Season.043417 PA

Last 2 Years.0262002 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.101

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA

Season.10519 PA

Last 2 Years.03392 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.02871 PA

Last 2 Years.033697 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029209 PA

Season.025788 PA

Last 2 Years.0223287 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.11

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BRBetRivers+1050

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

BOS Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06332 BF

Season.051117 BF

Last 2 Years.048691 BF

wOBA allowed.293

Hard-Hit %24%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 BF

Season.009115 BF

Last 2 Years.036690 BF

wOBA allowed.278

Hard-Hit %27%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA

Season.038156 PA

Last 2 Years.034984 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA

Season.051117 PA

Last 2 Years.048691 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.005192 PA

Season.026681 PA

Last 2 Years.0363174 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.16

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625

BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA

Season.022139 PA

Last 2 Years.022843 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.009115 PA

Last 2 Years.036690 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010203 PA

Season.017714 PA

Last 2 Years.0293292 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.111

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750

BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.033151 PA

Last 2 Years.047746 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA

Season.051117 PA

Last 2 Years.048691 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.005192 PA

Season.026681 PA

Last 2 Years.0363174 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.161

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550

CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06730 PA

Season.040151 PA

Last 2 Years.038738 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.009115 PA

Last 2 Years.036690 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010203 PA

Season.017714 PA

Last 2 Years.0293292 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form🔥 7-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.159

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+425

BRBetRivers+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA

Season.00092 PA

Last 2 Years.022508 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA

Season.051117 PA

Last 2 Years.048691 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.005192 PA

Season.026681 PA

Last 2 Years.0363174 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.600

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.116

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850

BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA

Season.00019 PA

Last 2 Years.000155 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA

Season.051117 PA

Last 2 Years.048691 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.005192 PA

Season.026681 PA

Last 2 Years.0363174 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.097

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.00052 PA

Last 2 Years.009445 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.009115 PA

Last 2 Years.036690 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010203 PA

Season.017714 PA

Last 2 Years.0293292 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.600

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.083

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA

Season.007140 PA

Last 2 Years.020249 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA

Season.051117 PA

Last 2 Years.048691 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.005192 PA

Season.026681 PA

Last 2 Years.0363174 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.092

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.00032 PA

Last 2 Years.008630 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.009115 PA

Last 2 Years.036690 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010203 PA

Season.017714 PA

Last 2 Years.0293292 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.076

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.