MatchWiz
Home Runs · Wednesday, May 27, 2026

CIN @ NYM Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
24
Final
NYM
New York Mets
NYM
Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft 81°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, Out To RF

CIN CIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF
Season.00052 BF
Last 2 Years.016255 BF
wOBA allowed.236
Hard-Hit %15%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 BF
Season.02050 BF
Last 2 Years.015326 BF
wOBA allowed.217
Hard-Hit %28%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.03529 PA
Last 2 Years.02580 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.015326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020203 PA
Season.016733 PA
Last 2 Years.0264004 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.136

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05338 PA
Season.041173 PA
Last 2 Years.0351009 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00052 PA
Last 2 Years.016255 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025283 PA
Season.027769 PA
Last 2 Years.0252936 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.184

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA
Season.07481 PA
Last 2 Years.037702 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00052 PA
Last 2 Years.016255 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025283 PA
Season.027769 PA
Last 2 Years.0252936 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.175

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+510
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.044181 PA
Last 2 Years.052232 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.015326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020203 PA
Season.016733 PA
Last 2 Years.0264004 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~1.2× / ~3.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.174

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.02386 PA
Last 2 Years.065858 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.015326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020203 PA
Season.016733 PA
Last 2 Years.0264004 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.18

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.018167 PA
Last 2 Years.025613 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.015326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020203 PA
Season.016733 PA
Last 2 Years.0264004 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.103

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.026153 PA
Last 2 Years.034937 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.015326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020203 PA
Season.016733 PA
Last 2 Years.0264004 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.118

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+650
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.00019 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.015326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020203 PA
Season.016733 PA
Last 2 Years.0264004 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.112

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.02935 PA
Last 2 Years.021279 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.015326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020203 PA
Season.016733 PA
Last 2 Years.0264004 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.105

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

NYM NYM Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF
Season.03360 BF
Last 2 Years.019315 BF
wOBA allowed.328
Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 BF
Season.027187 BF
Last 2 Years.037973 BF
wOBA allowed.325
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.00037 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03360 PA
Last 2 Years.019315 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056216 PA
Season.045644 PA
Last 2 Years.0352884 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.15

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20015 PA
Season.06165 PA
Last 2 Years.048230 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.027187 PA
Last 2 Years.037973 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050140 PA
Season.038559 PA
Last 2 Years.0293431 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.194

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03361 PA
Last 2 Years.051474 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03360 PA
Last 2 Years.019315 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056216 PA
Season.045644 PA
Last 2 Years.0352884 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.467
Plate Appearances15

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.196

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+375
CZRCaesars+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.03361 PA
Last 2 Years.038317 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.027187 PA
Last 2 Years.037973 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050140 PA
Season.038559 PA
Last 2 Years.0293431 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.364
Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.155

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+390
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.01856 PA
Last 2 Years.020302 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.027187 PA
Last 2 Years.037973 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050140 PA
Season.038559 PA
Last 2 Years.0293431 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~2.3× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.00018 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03360 PA
Last 2 Years.019315 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056216 PA
Season.045644 PA
Last 2 Years.0352884 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.13

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.0002 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03360 PA
Last 2 Years.019315 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056216 PA
Season.045644 PA
Last 2 Years.0352884 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.14

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00036 PA
Last 2 Years.024123 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03360 PA
Last 2 Years.019315 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056216 PA
Season.045644 PA
Last 2 Years.0352884 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.122

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00030 PA
Last 2 Years.014147 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.027187 PA
Last 2 Years.037973 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050140 PA
Season.038559 PA
Last 2 Years.0293431 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.107

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.