ATL @ BOS Home Runs matchups · Thursday, May 28, 2026

ATL

Atlanta Braves

10–2

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 68°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, In From CF

ATL Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07713 BF

Season.05636 BF

Last 2 Years.05951 BF

wOBA allowed.290

Hard-Hit %21%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 BF

Season.010104 BF

Last 2 Years.031163 BF

wOBA allowed.202

Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.00064 PA

Last 2 Years.021189 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.010104 PA

Last 2 Years.031163 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024208 PA

Season.026774 PA

Last 2 Years.0233632 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.122

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+400

BRBetRivers+380

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA

Season.00082 PA

Last 2 Years.007283 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.010104 PA

Last 2 Years.031163 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024208 PA

Season.026774 PA

Last 2 Years.0233632 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.092

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+850

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA

Season.049103 PA

Last 2 Years.041442 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA

Season.05636 PA

Last 2 Years.05951 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039153 PA

Season.040479 PA

Last 2 Years.0282506 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.162

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450

BRBetRivers+450

CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA

Season.03099 PA

Last 2 Years.026352 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.010104 PA

Last 2 Years.031163 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024208 PA

Season.026774 PA

Last 2 Years.0233632 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.112

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA

Season.01285 PA

Last 2 Years.038263 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.010104 PA

Last 2 Years.031163 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024208 PA

Season.026774 PA

Last 2 Years.0233632 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525

BOLBetOnline+500

CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA

Season.04567 PA

Last 2 Years.039331 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA

Season.05636 PA

Last 2 Years.05951 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039153 PA

Season.040479 PA

Last 2 Years.0282506 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.03727 PA

Last 2 Years.020102 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.010104 PA

Last 2 Years.031163 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024208 PA

Season.026774 PA

Last 2 Years.0233632 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.11

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.00011 PA

Last 2 Years.01285 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA

Season.05636 PA

Last 2 Years.05951 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039153 PA

Season.040479 PA

Last 2 Years.0282506 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA

Season.0006 PA

Last 2 Years.00013 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.010104 PA

Last 2 Years.031163 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024208 PA

Season.026774 PA

Last 2 Years.0233632 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.11

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

BOS Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 BF

Season.01661 BF

Last 2 Years.014219 BF

wOBA allowed.249

Hard-Hit %29%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00042 BF

Season.028180 BF

Last 2 Years.019987 BF

wOBA allowed.237

Hard-Hit %29%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA

Season.00048 PA

Last 2 Years.017420 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.01661 PA

Last 2 Years.014219 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039229 PA

Season.029780 PA

Last 2 Years.0303348 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.444

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.104

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+850

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.02245 PA

Last 2 Years.034320 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA

Season.028180 PA

Last 2 Years.019987 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA

Season.025651 PA

Last 2 Years.0343585 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.290

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.135

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750

BOLBetOnline+700

BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.01566 PA

Last 2 Years.017177 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.01661 PA

Last 2 Years.014219 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039229 PA

Season.029780 PA

Last 2 Years.0303348 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+900

BOLBetOnline+800

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.07156 PA

Last 2 Years.042262 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA

Season.028180 PA

Last 2 Years.019987 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA

Season.025651 PA

Last 2 Years.0343585 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.339

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.290

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form🔥 10-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.166

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+475

BRBetRivers+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.02836 PA

Last 2 Years.022136 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA

Season.028180 PA

Last 2 Years.019987 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA

Season.025651 PA

Last 2 Years.0343585 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.290

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.12

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.08312 PA

Last 2 Years.02639 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.01661 PA

Last 2 Years.014219 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.039229 PA

Season.029780 PA

Last 2 Years.0303348 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.117

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.2005 PA

Season.04025 PA

Last 2 Years.013235 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA

Season.028180 PA

Last 2 Years.019987 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA

Season.025651 PA

Last 2 Years.0343585 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.301

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.290

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2.2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.097

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1500

BRBetRivers+1150

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA

Season.00018 PA

Last 2 Years.026154 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA

Season.028180 PA

Last 2 Years.019987 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA

Season.025651 PA

Last 2 Years.0343585 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.290

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.111

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1150

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA

Season.00040 PA

Last 2 Years.023173 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA

Season.028180 PA

Last 2 Years.019987 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA

Season.025651 PA

Last 2 Years.0343585 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.290

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.099

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1150

CZRCaesars+1100

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.