SD @ WSH Home Runs matchups · Friday, May 29, 2026

San Diego Padres

7–5

Final

WSH

Washington Nationals

◆ Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft☀ 78°F ClearWind 11 mph, Out To RF

SD Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 BF

Season.02343 BF

Last 2 Years.020100 BF

wOBA allowed.325

Hard-Hit %26%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 BF

Season.02442 BF

Last 2 Years.04295 BF

wOBA allowed.335

Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA

Season.000188 PA

Last 2 Years.037835 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.02442 PA

Last 2 Years.04295 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.027223 PA

Season.029847 PA

Last 2 Years.0343754 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.155

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+575

BOLBetOnline+550

CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.00021 PA

Last 2 Years.00021 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA

Season.02343 PA

Last 2 Years.020100 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031226 PA

Season.037787 PA

Last 2 Years.0372998 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.155

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA

Season.042166 PA

Last 2 Years.028754 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.02442 PA

Last 2 Years.04295 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.027223 PA

Season.029847 PA

Last 2 Years.0343754 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.132

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575

CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA

Season.041173 PA

Last 2 Years.041998 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.02442 PA

Last 2 Years.04295 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.027223 PA

Season.029847 PA

Last 2 Years.0343754 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.168

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450

BRBetRivers+425

CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA

Season.024164 PA

Last 2 Years.044769 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA

Season.02343 PA

Last 2 Years.020100 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031226 PA

Season.037787 PA

Last 2 Years.0372998 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.171

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700

CZRCaesars+625

BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA

Season.033121 PA

Last 2 Years.021620 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.02442 PA

Last 2 Years.04295 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.027223 PA

Season.029847 PA

Last 2 Years.0343754 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.124

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+700

CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.041147 PA

Last 2 Years.043636 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.02442 PA

Last 2 Years.04295 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.027223 PA

Season.029847 PA

Last 2 Years.0343754 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.154

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525

CZRCaesars+475

BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA

Season.07368 PA

Last 2 Years.022678 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.02442 PA

Last 2 Years.04295 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.027223 PA

Season.029847 PA

Last 2 Years.0343754 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.129

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.00088 PA

Last 2 Years.016514 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.02442 PA

Last 2 Years.04295 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.027223 PA

Season.029847 PA

Last 2 Years.0343754 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.290

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 7 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.086

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850

BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

WSH Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 BF

Season.00023 BF

Last 2 Years.025321 BF

wOBA allowed.340

Hard-Hit %19%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 BF

Season.00018 BF

Last 2 Years.027333 BF

wOBA allowed.167

Hard-Hit %18%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04544 PA

Season.063175 PA

Last 2 Years.045848 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.00023 PA

Last 2 Years.025321 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.035227 PA

Season.019835 PA

Last 2 Years.0263755 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.357

Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.254

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+325

BRBetRivers+300

CZRCaesars+290

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA

Season.019154 PA

Last 2 Years.036851 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.00023 PA

Last 2 Years.025321 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.035227 PA

Season.019835 PA

Last 2 Years.0263755 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.159

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+475

BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13023 PA

Season.06775 PA

Last 2 Years.030234 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.00018 PA

Last 2 Years.027333 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020198 PA

Season.024715 PA

Last 2 Years.0283901 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.164

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525

CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04544 PA

Season.066166 PA

Last 2 Years.041856 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.00023 PA

Last 2 Years.025321 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.035227 PA

Season.019835 PA

Last 2 Years.0263755 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.347

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.191

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450

CZRCaesars+425

BRBetRivers+410

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA

Season.04821 PA

Last 2 Years.031354 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.00018 PA

Last 2 Years.027333 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.020198 PA

Season.024715 PA

Last 2 Years.0283901 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2.3× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.145

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02344 PA

Season.041173 PA

Last 2 Years.031447 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.00023 PA

Last 2 Years.025321 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.035227 PA

Season.019835 PA

Last 2 Years.0263755 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.141

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+550

CZRCaesars+500

BRBetRivers+480

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.029104 PA

Last 2 Years.016377 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.00023 PA

Last 2 Years.025321 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.035227 PA

Season.019835 PA

Last 2 Years.0263755 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.122

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA

Season.01190 PA

Last 2 Years.012172 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.00023 PA

Last 2 Years.025321 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.035227 PA

Season.019835 PA

Last 2 Years.0263755 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.096

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.009106 PA

Last 2 Years.012166 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.00023 PA

Last 2 Years.025321 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.035227 PA

Season.019835 PA

Last 2 Years.0263755 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.095

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.