CHC @ STL Home Runs matchups · Sunday, May 31, 2026

CHC

Chicago Cubs

1–5

Final

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 79°F CloudyWind 5 mph, R To L

CHC Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07713 BF

Season.09563 BF

Last 2 Years.037297 BF

wOBA allowed.461

Hard-Hit %43%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 BF

Season.022185 BF

Last 2 Years.031843 BF

wOBA allowed.334

Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA

Season.02775 PA

Last 2 Years.025317 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA

Season.022185 PA

Last 2 Years.031843 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.012172 PA

Season.021772 PA

Last 2 Years.0233430 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.335

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.125

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA

Season.02483 PA

Last 2 Years.029351 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA

Season.09563 PA

Last 2 Years.037297 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.051194 PA

Season.030927 PA

Last 2 Years.0303186 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.335

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.144

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575

CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.01567 PA

Last 2 Years.036305 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA

Season.022185 PA

Last 2 Years.031843 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.012172 PA

Season.021772 PA

Last 2 Years.0233430 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.329

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 10-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.165

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625

BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.02147 PA

Last 2 Years.040323 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA

Season.022185 PA

Last 2 Years.031843 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.012172 PA

Season.021772 PA

Last 2 Years.0233430 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.083

Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.15

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+550

BOLBetOnline+500

CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.04566 PA

Last 2 Years.039362 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA

Season.022185 PA

Last 2 Years.031843 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.012172 PA

Season.021772 PA

Last 2 Years.0233430 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.083

Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2.5× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.141

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600

BRBetRivers+575

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.03558 PA

Last 2 Years.038210 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA

Season.022185 PA

Last 2 Years.031843 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.012172 PA

Season.021772 PA

Last 2 Years.0233430 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.336

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.137

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625

BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA

Season.01375 PA

Last 2 Years.024249 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA

Season.09563 PA

Last 2 Years.037297 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.051194 PA

Season.030927 PA

Last 2 Years.0303186 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.335

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.118

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+650

CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA

Season.0004 PA

Last 2 Years.027150 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA

Season.09563 PA

Last 2 Years.037297 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.051194 PA

Season.030927 PA

Last 2 Years.0303186 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.335

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.125

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.04468 PA

Last 2 Years.044294 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA

Season.022185 PA

Last 2 Years.031843 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.012172 PA

Season.021772 PA

Last 2 Years.0233430 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.154

Plate Appearances13

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.126

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+700

CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

STL Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 BF

Season.0008 BF

Last 2 Years.05573 BF

wOBA allowed.651

Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 BF

Season.06316 BF

Last 2 Years.049122 BF

wOBA allowed.388

Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.02482 PA

Last 2 Years.02482 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.0008 PA

Last 2 Years.05573 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048228 PA

Season.037738 PA

Last 2 Years.0363486 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.153

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+650

CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13315 PA

Season.04272 PA

Last 2 Years.055237 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.06316 PA

Last 2 Years.049122 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.052250 PA

Season.039826 PA

Last 2 Years.0374411 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.349

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.204

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+550

BRBetRivers+525

CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.07454 PA

Last 2 Years.041194 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.06316 PA

Last 2 Years.049122 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.052250 PA

Season.039826 PA

Last 2 Years.0374411 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.178

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+440

BOLBetOnline+425

CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA

Season.3333 PA

Last 2 Years.05618 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.06316 PA

Last 2 Years.049122 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.052250 PA

Season.039826 PA

Last 2 Years.0374411 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.158

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525

CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA

Season.01567 PA

Last 2 Years.017292 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.0008 PA

Last 2 Years.05573 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048228 PA

Season.037738 PA

Last 2 Years.0363486 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.296

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.11

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625

BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.00051 PA

Last 2 Years.026345 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.06316 PA

Last 2 Years.049122 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.052250 PA

Season.039826 PA

Last 2 Years.0374411 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.12

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850

BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.02050 PA

Last 2 Years.009210 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.0008 PA

Last 2 Years.05573 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048228 PA

Season.037738 PA

Last 2 Years.0363486 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.095

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.2504 PA

Season.03132 PA

Last 2 Years.034177 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.0008 PA

Last 2 Years.05573 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.048228 PA

Season.037738 PA

Last 2 Years.0363486 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.00038 PA

Last 2 Years.013222 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.06316 PA

Last 2 Years.049122 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.052250 PA

Season.039826 PA

Last 2 Years.0374411 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.305

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.103

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.