MatchWiz
Home Runs · Sunday, May 31, 2026

DET @ CWS Home Runs matchups · Sunday, May 31, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
12
Final
CWS
Chicago White Sox
CWS
Rate FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft 66°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, In From LF

DET DET Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 BF
Season.021144 BF
Last 2 Years.032494 BF
wOBA allowed.320
Hard-Hit %29%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 BF
Season.019105 BF
Last 2 Years.033427 BF
wOBA allowed.277
Hard-Hit %25%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00038 PA
Last 2 Years.00038 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.019105 PA
Last 2 Years.033427 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034204 PA
Season.032747 PA
Last 2 Years.0262789 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.12

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.011176 PA
Last 2 Years.011176 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.021144 PA
Last 2 Years.032494 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038158 PA
Season.021618 PA
Last 2 Years.0292380 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.113

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+650
CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.042168 PA
Last 2 Years.043744 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.019105 PA
Last 2 Years.033427 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034204 PA
Season.032747 PA
Last 2 Years.0262789 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.149

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+390
BRBetRivers+380

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.00056 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.019105 PA
Last 2 Years.033427 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034204 PA
Season.032747 PA
Last 2 Years.0262789 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.118

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.018169 PA
Last 2 Years.052879 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.021144 PA
Last 2 Years.032494 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038158 PA
Season.021618 PA
Last 2 Years.0292380 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.157

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.029104 PA
Last 2 Years.021466 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.019105 PA
Last 2 Years.033427 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034204 PA
Season.032747 PA
Last 2 Years.0262789 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.102

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.02099 PA
Last 2 Years.027602 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.021144 PA
Last 2 Years.032494 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038158 PA
Season.021618 PA
Last 2 Years.0292380 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.095

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA
Season.009107 PA
Last 2 Years.022712 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.021144 PA
Last 2 Years.032494 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038158 PA
Season.021618 PA
Last 2 Years.0292380 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 8 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.083

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00051 PA
Last 2 Years.028320 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.019105 PA
Last 2 Years.033427 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034204 PA
Season.032747 PA
Last 2 Years.0262789 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.296
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.098

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

CWS CWS Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 BF
Season.040124 BF
Last 2 Years.047514 BF
wOBA allowed.302
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 BF
Season.02098 BF
Last 2 Years.033490 BF
wOBA allowed.275
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA
Season.008129 PA
Last 2 Years.008129 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.040124 PA
Last 2 Years.047514 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.024535 PA
Last 2 Years.0252426 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.12

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.035172 PA
Last 2 Years.032723 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.02098 PA
Last 2 Years.033490 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037187 PA
Season.028708 PA
Last 2 Years.0253606 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.129

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+450
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.026153 PA
Last 2 Years.040772 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.040124 PA
Last 2 Years.047514 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.024535 PA
Last 2 Years.0252426 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.156

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+420
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.059168 PA
Last 2 Years.073369 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.040124 PA
Last 2 Years.047514 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.024535 PA
Last 2 Years.0252426 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.203

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+295
CZRCaesars+265

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA
Season.023176 PA
Last 2 Years.013525 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.02098 PA
Last 2 Years.033490 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037187 PA
Season.028708 PA
Last 2 Years.0253606 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.091

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.040124 PA
Last 2 Years.047514 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.024535 PA
Last 2 Years.0252426 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.125

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.014147 PA
Last 2 Years.013157 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.040124 PA
Last 2 Years.047514 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.024535 PA
Last 2 Years.0252426 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.104

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.07156 PA
Last 2 Years.04392 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.040124 PA
Last 2 Years.047514 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.024535 PA
Last 2 Years.0252426 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.125

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00074 PA
Last 2 Years.004224 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.02098 PA
Last 2 Years.033490 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037187 PA
Season.028708 PA
Last 2 Years.0253606 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.078

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.