DET @ TB Home Runs matchups · Monday, June 1, 2026

DET

Detroit Tigers

10–9

Final

Tampa Bay Rays

◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

DET Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 BF

Season.02773 BF

Last 2 Years.023307 BF

wOBA allowed.321

Hard-Hit %31%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 BF

Season.03655 BF

Last 2 Years.025285 BF

wOBA allowed.308

Hard-Hit %40%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA

Season.011179 PA

Last 2 Years.011179 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.02773 PA

Last 2 Years.023307 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.026116 PA

Season.018675 PA

Last 2 Years.0272526 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.118

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA

Season.056143 PA

Last 2 Years.031553 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA

Season.03655 PA

Last 2 Years.025285 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023218 PA

Season.025812 PA

Last 2 Years.0313095 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.149

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+650

BRBetRivers+650

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA

Season.028107 PA

Last 2 Years.022464 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA

Season.03655 PA

Last 2 Years.025285 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023218 PA

Season.025812 PA

Last 2 Years.0313095 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.11

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA

Season.018171 PA

Last 2 Years.051877 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.02773 PA

Last 2 Years.023307 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.026116 PA

Season.018675 PA

Last 2 Years.0272526 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.556

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.161

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+550

BRBetRivers+500

CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA

Season.041171 PA

Last 2 Years.043744 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA

Season.03655 PA

Last 2 Years.025285 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023218 PA

Season.025812 PA

Last 2 Years.0313095 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.385

Plate Appearances13

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.15

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+500

CZRCaesars+500

BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.00016 PA

Last 2 Years.01374 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA

Season.03655 PA

Last 2 Years.025285 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023218 PA

Season.025812 PA

Last 2 Years.0313095 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.119

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA

Season.020102 PA

Last 2 Years.026605 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.02773 PA

Last 2 Years.023307 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.026116 PA

Season.018675 PA

Last 2 Years.0272526 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.095

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+850

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00038 PA

Last 2 Years.00038 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA

Season.03655 PA

Last 2 Years.025285 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023218 PA

Season.025812 PA

Last 2 Years.0313095 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~1.1× / ~2.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.104

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA

Season.009109 PA

Last 2 Years.022714 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.02773 PA

Last 2 Years.023307 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.026116 PA

Season.018675 PA

Last 2 Years.0272526 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 9 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.082

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1050

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

TB Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.04821 BF

Last 2 Years.04272 BF

wOBA allowed.345

Hard-Hit %53%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.00022 BF

Last 2 Years.00072 BF

wOBA allowed.073

Hard-Hit %43%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.13330 PA

Season.047169 PA

Last 2 Years.031936 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.00022 PA

Last 2 Years.00072 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.040202 PA

Season.027789 PA

Last 2 Years.0264058 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.347

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.172

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500

CZRCaesars+475

BRBetRivers+440

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08137 PA

Season.058173 PA

Last 2 Years.048582 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.04821 PA

Last 2 Years.04272 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029208 PA

Season.027665 PA

Last 2 Years.0292927 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.355

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~2.8× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 9-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.236

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500

BRBetRivers+460

CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA

Season.009110 PA

Last 2 Years.011271 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.04821 PA

Last 2 Years.04272 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029208 PA

Season.027665 PA

Last 2 Years.0292927 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.094

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750

BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA

Season.057177 PA

Last 2 Years.061786 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.00022 PA

Last 2 Years.00072 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.040202 PA

Season.027789 PA

Last 2 Years.0264058 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.204

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+350

CZRCaesars+305

BRBetRivers+240

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.03033 PA

Last 2 Years.01760 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.00022 PA

Last 2 Years.00072 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.040202 PA

Season.027789 PA

Last 2 Years.0264058 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA

Season.07114 PA

Last 2 Years.02540 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.04821 PA

Last 2 Years.04272 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029208 PA

Season.027665 PA

Last 2 Years.0292927 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.133

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575

CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA

Season.021144 PA

Last 2 Years.036782 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.04821 PA

Last 2 Years.04272 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.029208 PA

Season.027665 PA

Last 2 Years.0292927 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.11

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625

BOLBetOnline+600

BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.01472 PA

Last 2 Years.017358 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.00022 PA

Last 2 Years.00072 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.040202 PA

Season.027789 PA

Last 2 Years.0264058 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.099

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA

Season.00080 PA

Last 2 Years.004281 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.00022 PA

Last 2 Years.00072 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.040202 PA

Season.027789 PA

Last 2 Years.0264058 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.082

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.