SD @ PHI Home Runs matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026

San Diego Padres

4–6

Final

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 87°F SunnyWind 7 mph, L To R

SD Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09432 BF

Season.038104 BF

Last 2 Years.038707 BF

wOBA allowed.239

Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 BF

Season.01760 BF

Last 2 Years.022536 BF

wOBA allowed.268

Hard-Hit %38%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA

Season.000201 PA

Last 2 Years.036837 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.01760 PA

Last 2 Years.022536 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013228 PA

Season.0241110 PA

Last 2 Years.0234670 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.133

Plate Appearances15

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.156

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+500

BRBetRivers+480

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.062161 PA

Last 2 Years.039788 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09432 PA

Season.038104 PA

Last 2 Years.038707 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.042143 PA

Season.024767 PA

Last 2 Years.0252823 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.083

Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.186

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400

CZRCaesars+400

BRBetRivers+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA

Season.038186 PA

Last 2 Years.0411000 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.01760 PA

Last 2 Years.022536 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013228 PA

Season.0241110 PA

Last 2 Years.0234670 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.208

Plate Appearances24

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.169

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600

CZRCaesars+525

BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA

Season.06577 PA

Last 2 Years.022669 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.01760 PA

Last 2 Years.022536 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013228 PA

Season.0241110 PA

Last 2 Years.0234670 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.14

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700

BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.022178 PA

Last 2 Years.044777 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09432 PA

Season.038104 PA

Last 2 Years.038707 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.042143 PA

Season.024767 PA

Last 2 Years.0252823 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances10

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.166

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+550

BRBetRivers+525

CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA

Season.039179 PA

Last 2 Years.027767 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.01760 PA

Last 2 Years.022536 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013228 PA

Season.0241110 PA

Last 2 Years.0234670 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.214

Plate Appearances14

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2.2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.124

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA

Season.030131 PA

Last 2 Years.020610 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.01760 PA

Last 2 Years.022536 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013228 PA

Season.0241110 PA

Last 2 Years.0234670 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.091

Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.11

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.01760 PA

Last 2 Years.022536 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013228 PA

Season.0241110 PA

Last 2 Years.0234670 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.13

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.00024 PA

Last 2 Years.009109 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09432 PA

Season.038104 PA

Last 2 Years.038707 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.042143 PA

Season.024767 PA

Last 2 Years.0252823 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.108

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950

BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

PHI Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 BF

Season.03033 BF

Last 2 Years.027331 BF

wOBA allowed.418

Hard-Hit %22%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05917 BF

Season.04224 BF

Last 2 Years.029339 BF

wOBA allowed.278

Hard-Hit %27%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.056

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA

Season.096166 PA

Last 2 Years.077896 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA

Season.03033 PA

Last 2 Years.027331 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043235 PA

Season.022948 PA

Last 2 Years.0263802 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348

Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.238

Plate Appearances21

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.313

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+225

CZRCaesars+186

BRBetRivers+175

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA

Season.033183 PA

Last 2 Years.031899 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA

Season.04224 PA

Last 2 Years.029339 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030164 PA

Season.024766 PA

Last 2 Years.0283837 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.300

Plate Appearances10

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.149

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+550

CZRCaesars+500

BRBetRivers+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06730 PA

Season.069159 PA

Last 2 Years.051768 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA

Season.03033 PA

Last 2 Years.027331 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043235 PA

Season.022948 PA

Last 2 Years.0263802 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.224

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+350

CZRCaesars+320

BRBetRivers+270

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.030165 PA

Last 2 Years.031746 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA

Season.03033 PA

Last 2 Years.027331 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043235 PA

Season.022948 PA

Last 2 Years.0263802 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.133

Plate Appearances15

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~2.5× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.16

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+525

BRBetRivers+420

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA

Season.013160 PA

Last 2 Years.019790 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA

Season.04224 PA

Last 2 Years.029339 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030164 PA

Season.024766 PA

Last 2 Years.0283837 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.106

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+575

BRBetRivers+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA

Season.029170 PA

Last 2 Years.026894 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA

Season.03033 PA

Last 2 Years.027331 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043235 PA

Season.022948 PA

Last 2 Years.0263802 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances10

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+575

BRBetRivers+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA

Season.028108 PA

Last 2 Years.028646 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA

Season.04224 PA

Last 2 Years.029339 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030164 PA

Season.024766 PA

Last 2 Years.0283837 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.128

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA

Season.012170 PA

Last 2 Years.028886 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA

Season.04224 PA

Last 2 Years.029339 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030164 PA

Season.024766 PA

Last 2 Years.0283837 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.188

Plate Appearances16

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.114

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500

CZRCaesars+475

BRBetRivers+420

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA

Season.013159 PA

Last 2 Years.013159 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA

Season.03033 PA

Last 2 Years.027331 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043235 PA

Season.022948 PA

Last 2 Years.0263802 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.104

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950

BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.