TOR @ ATL Home Runs matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026

TOR

Toronto Blue Jays

7–2

Final

ATL

Atlanta Braves

◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 80°F ClearWind 5 mph, In From LF

TOR Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 BF

Season.01567 BF

Last 2 Years.013223 BF

wOBA allowed.263

Hard-Hit %26%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 BF

Season.025198 BF

Last 2 Years.017985 BF

wOBA allowed.252

Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.02245 PA

Last 2 Years.038286 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.025198 PA

Last 2 Years.017985 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031194 PA

Season.024762 PA

Last 2 Years.0343655 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.292

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.226

Plate Appearances31

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.143

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700

BRBetRivers+650

CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.03165 PA

Last 2 Years.028354 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.025198 PA

Last 2 Years.017985 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031194 PA

Season.024762 PA

Last 2 Years.0343655 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.292

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA

Season.03852 PA

Last 2 Years.043299 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.025198 PA

Last 2 Years.017985 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031194 PA

Season.024762 PA

Last 2 Years.0343655 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.349

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.292

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.235

Plate Appearances17

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.165

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600

BRBetRivers+575

CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.20010 PA

Season.05456 PA

Last 2 Years.05456 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.025198 PA

Last 2 Years.017985 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031194 PA

Season.024762 PA

Last 2 Years.0343655 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.328

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.292

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.147

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600

CZRCaesars+575

BRBetRivers+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.01953 PA

Last 2 Years.008242 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.01567 PA

Last 2 Years.013223 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.052230 PA

Season.032864 PA

Last 2 Years.0313390 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.290

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.087

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.0005 PA

Last 2 Years.00072 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.01567 PA

Last 2 Years.013223 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.052230 PA

Season.032864 PA

Last 2 Years.0313390 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form🔥 10-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.119

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1300

BRBetRivers+1200

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.01760 PA

Last 2 Years.010207 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.025198 PA

Last 2 Years.017985 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031194 PA

Season.024762 PA

Last 2 Years.0343655 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.292

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~2.4× / ~1.6×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.099

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+1300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA

Season.00023 PA

Last 2 Years.01379 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA

Season.025198 PA

Last 2 Years.017985 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.031194 PA

Season.024762 PA

Last 2 Years.0343655 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.292

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.106

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1300

BRBetRivers+1150

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.01661 PA

Last 2 Years.028178 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.01567 PA

Last 2 Years.013223 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.052230 PA

Season.032864 PA

Last 2 Years.0313390 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.105

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

ATL Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 BF

Season.00051 BF

Last 2 Years.013153 BF

wOBA allowed.189

Hard-Hit %11%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 BF

Season.02147 BF

Last 2 Years.031160 BF

wOBA allowed.408

Hard-Hit %37%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA

Season.01376 PA

Last 2 Years.025201 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.02147 PA

Last 2 Years.031160 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.011179 PA

Season.021717 PA

Last 2 Years.0283449 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.131

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450

CZRCaesars+400

BRBetRivers+360

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA

Season.01194 PA

Last 2 Years.010293 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.02147 PA

Last 2 Years.031160 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.011179 PA

Season.021717 PA

Last 2 Years.0283449 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~1.7× / ~2.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.101

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA

Season.051118 PA

Last 2 Years.040445 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.00051 PA

Last 2 Years.013153 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010209 PA

Season.014713 PA

Last 2 Years.0242684 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.161

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+375

CZRCaesars+370

BRBetRivers+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.036112 PA

Last 2 Years.028354 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.02147 PA

Last 2 Years.031160 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.011179 PA

Season.021717 PA

Last 2 Years.0283449 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form🔥 7-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.132

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625

BRBetRivers+510

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA

Season.04884 PA

Last 2 Years.041338 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.00051 PA

Last 2 Years.013153 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010209 PA

Season.014713 PA

Last 2 Years.0242684 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.126

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+475

BRBetRivers+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.00016 PA

Last 2 Years.01284 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.00051 PA

Last 2 Years.013153 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010209 PA

Season.014713 PA

Last 2 Years.0242684 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.11

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700

BRBetRivers+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA

Season.01194 PA

Last 2 Years.038260 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.02147 PA

Last 2 Years.031160 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.011179 PA

Season.021717 PA

Last 2 Years.0283449 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps4

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.121

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+500

BOLBetOnline+475

BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA

Season.00023 PA

Last 2 Years.010203 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.00051 PA

Last 2 Years.013153 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.010209 PA

Season.014713 PA

Last 2 Years.0242684 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.301

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Projection

Projected HR0.088

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700

BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.00025 PA

Last 2 Years.01473 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.02147 PA

Last 2 Years.031160 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.011179 PA

Season.021717 PA

Last 2 Years.0283449 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8

Sees starter / bullpen~1× / ~2.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.099

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.