MatchWiz
Home Runs · Friday, June 5, 2026

MIL @ COL Home Runs matchups · Friday, June 5, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
97
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft 87°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, R To L

MIL MIL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 BF
Season.04346 BF
Last 2 Years.025326 BF
wOBA allowed.261
Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 BF
Season.04862 BF
Last 2 Years.037323 BF
wOBA allowed.427
Hard-Hit %44%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA
Season.02291 PA
Last 2 Years.048640 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.04346 PA
Last 2 Years.025326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029172 PA
Season.038662 PA
Last 2 Years.0372658 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances15

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.187

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+500
CZRCaesars+425
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.03391 PA
Last 2 Years.038793 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.04862 PA
Last 2 Years.037323 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037241 PA
Season.027915 PA
Last 2 Years.0343541 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.091
Plate Appearances11

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.211

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+305
BOLBetOnline+300
BRBetRivers+255

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00044 PA
Season.037188 PA
Last 2 Years.027959 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.04346 PA
Last 2 Years.025326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029172 PA
Season.038662 PA
Last 2 Years.0372658 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances14

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~2.3× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.168

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+540
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.03879 PA
Last 2 Years.038211 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.04862 PA
Last 2 Years.037323 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037241 PA
Season.027915 PA
Last 2 Years.0343541 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.16

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08336 PA
Season.050159 PA
Last 2 Years.041533 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.04346 PA
Last 2 Years.025326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029172 PA
Season.038662 PA
Last 2 Years.0372658 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.201

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+330
BOLBetOnline+300
BRBetRivers+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.021143 PA
Last 2 Years.029384 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.04346 PA
Last 2 Years.025326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029172 PA
Season.038662 PA
Last 2 Years.0372658 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.083
Plate Appearances12

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.156

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.013156 PA
Last 2 Years.017819 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.04346 PA
Last 2 Years.025326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029172 PA
Season.038662 PA
Last 2 Years.0372658 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.093

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01191 PA
Last 2 Years.010687 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.04862 PA
Last 2 Years.037323 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037241 PA
Season.027915 PA
Last 2 Years.0343541 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.089

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.015136 PA
Last 2 Years.027483 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.04346 PA
Last 2 Years.025326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029172 PA
Season.038662 PA
Last 2 Years.0372658 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.119

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

COL COL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 BF
Season.038105 BF
Last 2 Years.027147 BF
wOBA allowed.385
Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 BF
Season.054112 BF
Last 2 Years.039154 BF
wOBA allowed.363
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04544 PA
Season.028143 PA
Last 2 Years.025555 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.038105 PA
Last 2 Years.027147 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000112 PA
Season.011520 PA
Last 2 Years.0211572 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.134

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.009115 PA
Last 2 Years.008525 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.054112 PA
Last 2 Years.039154 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.018684 PA
Last 2 Years.0232224 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 8-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.132

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.00026 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.054112 PA
Last 2 Years.039154 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.018684 PA
Last 2 Years.0232224 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45
Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 7 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.148

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.064172 PA
Last 2 Years.058702 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.054112 PA
Last 2 Years.039154 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.018684 PA
Last 2 Years.0232224 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.35
Sees starter / bullpen~2.7× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.245

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+250
CZRCaesars+245
BRBetRivers+225

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00043 PA
Season.011175 PA
Last 2 Years.021288 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.038105 PA
Last 2 Years.027147 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000112 PA
Season.011520 PA
Last 2 Years.0211572 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.25
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.14

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.021142 PA
Last 2 Years.019786 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.038105 PA
Last 2 Years.027147 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000112 PA
Season.011520 PA
Last 2 Years.0211572 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.1
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.123

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+650
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08137 PA
Season.023174 PA
Last 2 Years.031774 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.054112 PA
Last 2 Years.039154 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.018684 PA
Last 2 Years.0232224 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps4
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Projection

Projected HR0.148

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.038105 PA
Last 2 Years.027147 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000112 PA
Season.011520 PA
Last 2 Years.0211572 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.9
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.13

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA
Season.01663 PA
Last 2 Years.01283 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.038105 PA
Last 2 Years.027147 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000112 PA
Season.011520 PA
Last 2 Years.0211572 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Context

Expected Plate Apps3.8
Sees starter / bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.115

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.