PIT @ NYM Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, March 28, 2026

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

2–4

Final

NYM

New York Mets

◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 42°F SunnyWind 4 mph, L To R

Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.8% K/BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Francisco Lindor (L)20.3%3.0 PA

2Juan Soto (L)19.9%3.0 PA

3Bo Bichette (R)23.2%3.0 PA

4Jorge Polanco (L)21.1%3.0 PA

5Luis Robert Jr. (R)22.7%3.0 PA

6Brett Baty (L)22.7%2.0 PA

7Marcus Semien (R)21.0%2.0 PA

8Jared Young (L)28.4%2.0 PA

9Luis Torrens (R)19.9%2.0 PA

David Peterson · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.4% K/BF

vs LHB28.5%

vs RHB17.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Jared Triolo (R)22.1%3.0 PA

2Ryan O'Hearn (L)22.2%3.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (R)25.5%3.0 PA

4Marcell Ozuna (R)25.7%3.0 PA

5Nick Gonzales (R)21.1%3.0 PA

6Brandon Lowe (L)28.6%2.0 PA

7Billy Cook (R)20.3%2.0 PA

8Henry Davis (R)24.1%2.0 PA

9Jake Mangum (R)15.0%2.0 PA