‹ Strikeouts · Sunday, March 29, 2026
BOS @ CIN Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, March 29, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
2–3
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 60°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, R To L
Connelly Early · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate31.0% K/BF
vs LHB33.3%
vs RHB25.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection6.1 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1TJ Friedl (L)21.6%3.0 PA
2Matt McLain (R)23.4%3.0 PA
3Elly De La Cruz (R)23.7%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)20.6%3.0 PA
5Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)20.3%3.0 PA
6Spencer Steer (R)23.3%2.0 PA
7Dane Myers (R)21.6%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)20.3%2.0 PA
9Noelvi Marte (R)27.2%2.0 PA
Rhett Lowder · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.5% K/BF
vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB18.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.7 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Roman Anthony (L)22.8%3.0 PA
2Trevor Story (R)26.6%3.0 PA
3Jarren Duran (L)22.1%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)25.6%3.0 PA
5Wilyer Abreu (L)21.2%3.0 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)20.0%2.0 PA
7Masataka Yoshida (L)20.0%2.0 PA
8Andruw Monasterio (R)27.5%2.0 PA
9Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.1%2.0 PA