‹ Strikeouts · Monday, March 30, 2026
NYM @ STL Strikeouts matchups · Monday, March 30, 2026
NYM
New York Mets
4–2
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 84°F ClearWind 14 mph, Out To LF
Clay Holmes · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.3% K/BF
vs LHB18.3%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)20.0%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)20.0%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)17.7%3.0 PA
4Masyn Winn (R)22.2%3.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)24.7%3.0 PA
6Jordan Walker (R)22.5%2.0 PA
7Nathan Church (L)21.7%2.0 PA
8Pedro Pagés (R)21.4%2.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)22.6%2.0 PA
Kyle Leahy · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.5% K/BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.9 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Francisco Lindor (L)21.0%3.0 PA
2Juan Soto (L)20.7%3.0 PA
3Bo Bichette (R)24.9%3.0 PA
4Jorge Polanco (L)20.0%3.0 PA
5Brett Baty (L)24.3%3.0 PA
6Luis Robert Jr. (R)21.7%2.0 PA
7Marcus Semien (R)21.6%2.0 PA
8Carson Benge (L)23.7%2.0 PA
9Francisco Alvarez (R)22.2%2.0 PA