NYM @ STL Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, April 1, 2026

NYM

New York Mets

1–2

Final

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 58°F OvercastWind 7 mph, L To R

Freddy Peralta · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.8% K/BF

vs LHB25.5%

vs RHB23.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1JJ Wetherholt (L)19.7%3.0 PA

2Iván Herrera (R)19.8%3.0 PA

3Alec Burleson (L)17.5%3.0 PA

4Masyn Winn (R)21.7%3.0 PA

5Nolan Gorman (L)25.2%2.8 PA

6Thomas Saggese (R)22.2%2.0 PA

7Jordan Walker (R)23.1%2.0 PA

8Pedro Pagés (R)22.0%2.0 PA

9Victor Scott II (L)24.9%2.0 PA

Matthew Liberatore · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.9% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%

vs RHB17.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

NYM lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Francisco Lindor (R)20.5%3.0 PA

2Juan Soto (L)22.6%3.0 PA

3Bo Bichette (R)23.0%3.0 PA

4Jared Young (L)21.1%3.0 PA

5Luis Robert Jr. (R)23.0%3.0 PA

6Brett Baty (L)23.8%2.1 PA

7Marcus Semien (R)20.3%2.0 PA

8Francisco Alvarez (R)21.3%2.0 PA

9Carson Benge (L)24.5%2.0 PA