Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, April 1, 2026)?

Kevin Gausman (TOR) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.2 K against COL. A 30% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, April 1, 2026: Kevin Gausman (~6.2 K), Cristopher Sánchez (~6.1 K), Garrett Crochet (~6.0 K), Cam Schlittler (~5.9 K), Nathan Eovaldi (~5.9 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Wednesday, April 1, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, April 1, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Final · 1–5

ATHaway

ATLhomeTop matchup69 Final · 3–8

TEXaway

BALhomeTop matchup77 Final · 8–3

PITaway

CINhomeTop matchup40 Final · 5–6

WSHaway

PHIhomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–1

COLaway

TORhomeTop matchup100 Final · 0–10

CWSaway

MIAhomeTop matchup47 Final · 1–2

NYMaway

STLhomeTop matchup60 Final · 2–8

TBaway

MILhomeTop matchup75 Final · 4–6

BOSaway

HOUhomeTop matchup89 Final · 2–6

LAAaway

CHChomeTop matchup69 Final · 0–1

DETaway

AZhomeTop matchup51 Final · 1–7

SFaway

SDhomeTop matchup41 Final · 5–3

NYYaway

SEAhomeTop matchup85 Final · 9–13

MINaway

KChomeTop matchup62 Final · 4–1

CLEaway

LADhomeTop matchup77

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate30.2% K/BF

vs LHB26.1%

vs RHB27.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Troy Johnston (L)22.6%3.0

2. Hunter Goodman (R)23.6%3.0

3. Willi Castro (L)23.4%3.0

4. Ezequiel Tovar (R)24.5%3.0

5. Ryan Ritter (R)23.3%2.6

6. Edouard Julien (L)26.8%2.0

7. Brett Sullivan (L)21.0%2.0

8. Brenton Doyle (R)21.3%2.0

9. Tyler Freeman (R)13.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.4% K/BF

vs LHB24.2%

vs RHB27.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)27.2%3.0

2. Luis García Jr. (L)20.2%3.0

3. Brady House (R)24.2%3.0

4. Daylen Lile (L)20.8%3.0

5. Joey Wiemer (R)22.0%2.8

6. CJ Abrams (L)24.8%2.0

7. Nasim Nuñez (R)21.3%2.0

8. Jacob Young (R)21.1%2.0

9. Drew Millas (R)24.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.1% K/BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB27.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jose Altuve (R)19.5%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)20.7%3.0

3. Isaac Paredes (R)20.2%3.0

4. Carlos Correa (R)20.0%3.0

5. Christian Walker (R)23.2%3.0

6. Cam Smith (R)22.5%2.1

7. Jake Meyers (R)20.9%2.0

8. Joey Loperfido (L)21.7%2.0

9. Christian Vázquez (R)22.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.2% K/BF

vs LHB24.9%

vs RHB26.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brendan Donovan (L)19.7%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (L)28.9%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)24.0%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)18.6%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)19.5%2.3

6. Luke Raley (L)26.7%2.0

7. Dominic Canzone (L)19.8%2.0

8. Cole Young (L)24.2%2.0

9. Leo Rivas (L)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.0% K/BF

vs LHB24.2%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)21.8%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)24.1%3.0

3. Pete Alonso (R)25.2%3.0

4. Samuel Basallo (L)23.1%3.0

5. Coby Mayo (R)23.8%2.9

6. Dylan Beavers (L)22.9%2.0

7. Colton Cowser (L)22.9%2.0

8. Leody Taveras (L)23.3%2.0

9. Jeremiah Jackson (R)26.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.9% K/BF

vs LHB23.3%

vs RHB25.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Steven Kwan (L)17.6%3.0

2. Angel Martínez (L)25.7%3.0

3. José Ramírez (L)20.6%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)28.9%3.0

5. Rhys Hoskins (R)25.4%2.8

6. Bo Naylor (L)25.7%2.0

7. Daniel Schneemann (L)24.9%2.0

8. Gabriel Arias (R)26.7%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)18.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate31.5% K/BF

vs LHB30.2%

vs RHB26.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Yandy Díaz (R)19.4%3.0

2. Carson Williams (R)22.9%3.0

3. Jonny DeLuca (R)19.7%3.0

4. Junior Caminero (R)22.7%3.0

5. Cedric Mullins (L)21.8%2.7

6. Nick Fortes (R)18.1%2.0

7. Chandler Simpson (L)17.6%2.0

8. Ben Williamson (R)22.7%2.0

9. Ryan Vilade (R)23.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.0% K/BF

vs LHB23.8%

vs RHB25.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jacob Wilson (R)19.7%3.0

2. Jeff McNeil (L)20.1%3.0

3. Shea Langeliers (R)25.9%3.0

4. Brent Rooker (R)24.5%3.0

5. Max Muncy (R)21.6%3.0

6. Tyler Soderstrom (L)24.6%2.0

7. Austin Wynns (R)22.5%2.0

8. Darell Hernaiz (R)21.8%2.0

9. Lawrence Butler (L)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.1% K/BF

vs LHB24.9%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)21.8%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)23.3%3.0

3. Jo Adell (R)22.5%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)23.3%3.0

5. Yoán Moncada (R)24.3%2.3

6. Oswald Peraza (R)24.5%2.0

7. Jeimer Candelario (R)21.5%2.0

8. Travis d'Arnaud (R)26.4%2.0

9. Bryce Teodosio (R)26.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.6% K/BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jarren Duran (L)22.7%3.0

2. Trevor Story (R)28.5%3.0

3. Masataka Yoshida (L)18.9%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)24.6%3.0

5. Wilyer Abreu (L)21.2%3.0

6. Caleb Durbin (R)21.3%2.3

7. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.7%2.0

8. Roman Anthony (L)28.9%2.0

9. Marcelo Mayer (L)24.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.7% K/BF

vs LHB22.6%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)20.9%3.0

2. Aaron Judge (R)29.5%3.0

3. Cody Bellinger (L)20.4%3.0

4. Ben Rice (L)20.1%3.0

5. Paul Goldschmidt (R)26.2%2.9

6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)26.2%2.0

7. Ryan McMahon (L)28.2%2.0

8. Austin Wells (L)23.6%2.0

9. José Caballero (R)23.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.4% K/BF

vs LHB24.1%

vs RHB25.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nick Loftin (R)19.4%3.0

2. Tyler Tolbert (R)23.5%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)18.5%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)19.9%3.0

5. Carter Jensen (L)23.5%2.6

6. Jonathan India (R)21.0%2.0

7. Jac Caglianone (L)23.5%2.0

8. Isaac Collins (L)23.4%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)21.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.8% K/BF

vs LHB25.5%

vs RHB23.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)19.7%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)19.8%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)17.5%3.0

4. Masyn Winn (R)21.7%3.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)25.2%2.8

6. Thomas Saggese (R)22.2%2.0

7. Jordan Walker (R)23.1%2.0

8. Pedro Pagés (R)22.0%2.0

9. Victor Scott II (L)24.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.1% K/BF

vs LHB25.3%

vs RHB23.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (R)19.7%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)21.7%3.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (R)17.8%3.0

4. Gabriel Moreno (R)19.1%3.0

5. Ildemaro Vargas (R)19.5%2.9

6. Nolan Arenado (R)18.8%2.0

7. Jose Fernandez (R)22.0%2.0

8. Tim Tawa (R)26.5%2.0

9. Jordan Lawlar (R)22.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.9% K/BF

vs LHB21.7%

vs RHB20.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Chase Meidroth (R)21.7%3.0

2. Lenyn Sosa (R)22.9%3.0

3. Andrew Benintendi (L)24.4%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)28.1%3.0

5. Miguel Vargas (R)24.5%3.0

6. Tristan Peters (L)26.1%2.2

7. Derek Hill (R)25.0%2.0

8. Reese McGuire (L)23.9%2.0

9. Luisangel Acuña (R)19.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.7% K/BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB21.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brandon Nimmo (L)20.4%3.0

2. Wyatt Langford (R)26.2%3.0

3. Corey Seager (L)22.2%3.0

4. Jake Burger (R)24.9%3.0

5. Andrew McCutchen (R)24.5%3.0

6. Danny Jansen (R)22.8%2.4

7. Josh Jung (R)23.8%2.0

8. Josh Smith (L)24.2%2.0

9. Evan Carter (L)24.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.8% K/BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB23.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)23.8%3.0

2. Rafael Devers (L)23.1%3.0

3. Heliot Ramos (R)25.4%3.0

4. Luis Arraez (L)17.2%3.0

5. Matt Chapman (R)21.2%2.6

6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)18.2%2.0

7. Harrison Bader (R)23.1%2.0

8. Daniel Susac (R)22.0%2.0

9. Casey Schmitt (R)23.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.4% K/BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. TJ Friedl (L)24.9%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)22.0%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (L)25.8%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)22.7%2.4

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)26.2%2.0

6. Spencer Steer (R)22.3%2.0

7. Dane Myers (R)22.0%2.0

8. Tyler Stephenson (R)23.7%2.0

9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)18.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.7% K/BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Colt Keith (L)23.4%3.0

2. Kevin McGonigle (L)19.4%3.0

3. Gleyber Torres (R)20.4%3.0

4. Jahmai Jones (R)21.2%3.0

5. Dillon Dingler (R)23.7%2.6

6. Kerry Carpenter (L)29.3%2.0

7. Matt Vierling (R)22.7%2.0

8. Parker Meadows (L)22.8%2.0

9. Javier Báez (R)24.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.6% K/BF

vs LHB20.5%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Austin Martin (R)20.7%3.0

2. James Outman (L)33.7%3.0

3. Luke Keaschall (R)20.0%3.0

4. Matt Wallner (L)21.9%3.0

5. Ryan Jeffers (R)19.4%3.0

6. Josh Bell (R)23.3%2.0

7. Victor Caratini (R)21.5%2.0

8. Tristan Gray (L)19.5%2.0

9. Brooks Lee (R)25.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.6% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%

vs RHB21.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)20.1%3.0

2. Alex Bregman (R)21.6%3.0

3. Ian Happ (R)23.4%3.0

4. Carson Kelly (R)20.1%3.0

5. Michael Busch (L)21.2%2.9

6. Dansby Swanson (R)21.8%2.0

7. Matt Shaw (R)20.6%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)25.1%2.0

9. Moisés Ballesteros (L)23.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.9% K/BF

vs LHB24.2%

vs RHB23.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)21.1%3.0

2. Kyle Tucker (L)20.8%3.0

3. Mookie Betts (R)19.4%3.0

4. Freddie Freeman (L)18.0%3.0

5. Will Smith (R)18.2%2.9

6. Max Muncy (L)21.3%2.0

7. Teoscar Hernández (R)23.2%2.0

8. Andy Pages (R)19.8%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)21.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.7% K/BF

vs LHB22.9%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jakob Marsee (L)24.2%3.0

2. Leo Jiménez (R)23.8%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)21.1%3.0

4. Liam Hicks (L)18.8%2.7

5. Connor Norby (R)23.8%2.0

6. Owen Caissie (L)20.6%2.0

7. Heriberto Hernández (R)21.2%2.0

8. Graham Pauley (L)26.8%2.0

9. Javier Sanoja (R)20.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.3% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%

vs RHB20.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jake Mangum (R)19.8%3.0

2. Nick Gonzales (R)22.9%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (R)24.1%3.0

4. Marcell Ozuna (R)21.7%3.0

5. Oneil Cruz (L)24.0%3.0

6. Nick Yorke (R)21.9%2.1

7. Jared Triolo (R)20.0%2.0

8. Spencer Horwitz (L)20.9%2.0

9. Henry Davis (R)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.4% K/BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB20.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brice Turang (L)21.4%3.0

2. William Contreras (R)18.3%3.0

3. Christian Yelich (L)21.1%3.0

4. Jake Bauers (L)22.9%3.0

5. Garrett Mitchell (L)26.5%2.7

6. Sal Frelick (L)19.4%2.0

7. Blake Perkins (L)22.4%2.0

8. David Hamilton (L)19.5%2.0

9. Joey Ortiz (R)22.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.0% K/BF

vs LHB25.3%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)21.0%3.0

2. Dylan Moore (R)27.9%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)22.1%3.0

4. Alec Bohm (R)18.0%3.0

5. Edmundo Sosa (R)23.1%2.3

6. Adolis García (R)24.0%2.0

7. Brandon Marsh (L)19.5%2.0

8. J.T. Realmuto (R)24.4%2.0

9. Justin Crawford (L)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.9% K/BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB19.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)23.3%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)19.2%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)24.4%3.0

4. Austin Riley (R)24.9%3.0

5. Mike Yastrzemski (L)19.7%2.7

6. Ozzie Albies (L)17.7%2.0

7. Michael Harris II (L)20.6%2.0

8. Dominic Smith (L)20.3%2.0

9. Mauricio Dubón (R)20.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.9% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%

vs RHB17.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Francisco Lindor (R)20.5%3.0

2. Juan Soto (L)22.6%3.0

3. Bo Bichette (R)23.0%3.0

4. Jared Young (L)21.1%3.0

5. Luis Robert Jr. (R)23.0%3.0

6. Brett Baty (L)23.8%2.1

7. Marcus Semien (R)20.3%2.0

8. Francisco Alvarez (R)21.3%2.0

9. Carson Benge (L)24.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.9% K/BF

vs LHB16.5%

vs RHB17.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)23.0%3.0

2. Xander Bogaerts (R)19.3%3.0

3. Jackson Merrill (L)19.8%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)21.4%3.0

5. Ramón Laureano (R)24.5%3.0

6. Jake Cronenworth (L)22.4%2.0

7. Gavin Sheets (L)25.1%2.0

8. Freddy Fermin (R)21.4%2.0

9. Bryce Johnson (L)23.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.2% K/BF

vs LHB21.5%

vs RHB18.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. George Springer (R)21.8%3.0

2. Nathan Lukes (L)21.7%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)18.9%3.0

4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)20.8%3.0

5. Daulton Varsho (L)20.5%2.8

6. Ernie Clement (R)18.5%2.0

7. Jesús Sánchez (L)22.8%2.0

8. Tyler Heineman (R)20.7%2.0

9. Andrés Giménez (L)21.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Wednesday, April 1, 2026

Kevin Gausman (TOR) is the top strikeout start on the Wednesday, April 1, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.2 K, with Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Kevin Gausman

Kevin Gausman (TOR) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.2 K against COL. He's missing bats at a 30% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and COL has been around league average, going down 22% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) (100) — about 6.1 K vs WSH: a 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Garrett Crochet (BOS) (89) — about 6.0 K vs HOU: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Cam Schlittler (NYY) (85) — about 5.9 K vs SEA: a 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) (77) — about 5.9 K vs BAL: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) (77) — about 5.8 K vs CLE: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

NYY is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — George Kirby is the arm to exploit it (68).
CWS is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Sandy Alcantara is the arm to exploit it (47).
CLE is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Yoshinobu Yamamoto is the arm to exploit it (77).
LAA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Matthew Boyd is the arm to exploit it (69).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 6.4 strikeouts. Top play Kevin Gausman punched out 10. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) blends his strikeout rate against every hitter in the lineup — hand by hand, combined the log5 way — then scales by how deep he's been going (expected batters faced) and his command (K-BB%). Higher means more whiffs point his way. We project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, April 1, 2026)?: Kevin Gausman (TOR) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.2 K against COL. A 30% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, April 1, 2026: Kevin Gausman (~6.2 K), Cristopher Sánchez (~6.1 K), Garrett Crochet (~6.0 K), Cam Schlittler (~5.9 K), Nathan Eovaldi (~5.9 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Wednesday, April 1, 2026?: Kevin Gausman punched out 10.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.