BOS @ HOU Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, April 1, 2026

BOS

Boston Red Sox

4–6

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Garrett Crochet · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.1% K/BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB27.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Jose Altuve (R)19.5%3.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)20.7%3.0 PA

3Isaac Paredes (R)20.2%3.0 PA

4Carlos Correa (R)20.0%3.0 PA

5Christian Walker (R)23.2%3.0 PA

6Cam Smith (R)22.5%2.1 PA

7Jake Meyers (R)20.9%2.0 PA

8Joey Loperfido (L)21.7%2.0 PA

9Christian Vázquez (R)22.9%2.0 PA

Mike Burrows · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.6% K/BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jarren Duran (L)22.7%3.0 PA

2Trevor Story (R)28.5%3.0 PA

3Masataka Yoshida (L)18.9%3.0 PA

4Willson Contreras (R)24.6%3.0 PA

5Wilyer Abreu (L)21.2%3.0 PA

6Caleb Durbin (R)21.3%2.3 PA

7Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.7%2.0 PA

8Roman Anthony (L)28.9%2.0 PA

9Marcelo Mayer (L)24.8%2.0 PA