PIT @ CIN Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, April 1, 2026

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

8–3

Final

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 73°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, R To L

Paul Skenes · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.4% K/BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1TJ Friedl (L)24.9%3.0 PA

2Matt McLain (R)22.0%3.0 PA

3Elly De La Cruz (L)25.8%3.0 PA

4Sal Stewart (R)22.7%2.4 PA

5Eugenio Suárez (R)26.2%2.0 PA

6Spencer Steer (R)22.3%2.0 PA

7Dane Myers (R)22.0%2.0 PA

8Tyler Stephenson (R)23.7%2.0 PA

9Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)18.8%2.0 PA

Andrew Abbott · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.3% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%

vs RHB20.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Jake Mangum (R)19.8%3.0 PA

2Nick Gonzales (R)22.9%3.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (R)24.1%3.0 PA

4Marcell Ozuna (R)21.7%3.0 PA

5Oneil Cruz (L)24.0%3.0 PA

6Nick Yorke (R)21.9%2.1 PA

7Jared Triolo (R)20.0%2.0 PA

8Spencer Horwitz (L)20.9%2.0 PA

9Henry Davis (R)22.3%2.0 PA