BAL @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Friday, April 3, 2026

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

4–5

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 75°F CloudyWind 16 mph, Out To LF

Kyle Bradish · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.8% K/BF

vs LHB24.6%

vs RHB22.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Oneil Cruz (L)29.9%3.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)20.3%3.0 PA

3Jake Mangum (L)23.5%3.0 PA

4Marcell Ozuna (R)22.8%3.0 PA

5Ryan O'Hearn (L)19.8%2.6 PA

6Spencer Horwitz (L)22.4%2.0 PA

7Konnor Griffin (R)22.0%2.0 PA

8Jared Triolo (R)23.3%2.0 PA

9Henry Davis (R)23.4%2.0 PA

Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB21.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Taylor Ward (R)21.9%3.0 PA

2Gunnar Henderson (L)24.1%3.0 PA

3Pete Alonso (R)24.1%3.0 PA

4Adley Rutschman (L)20.2%3.0 PA

5Samuel Basallo (L)23.2%2.8 PA

6Dylan Beavers (L)23.4%2.0 PA

7Coby Mayo (R)26.4%2.0 PA

8Colton Cowser (L)22.1%2.0 PA

9Blaze Alexander (R)27.0%2.0 PA