PHI @ COL Strikeouts matchups · Friday, April 3, 2026

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

10–1

Final

COL

Colorado Rockies

◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft☀ 51°F SunnyWind 19 mph, In From LF

Aaron Nola · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.9% K/BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB26.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Troy Johnston (L)22.7%3.0 PA

2Hunter Goodman (R)25.9%3.0 PA

3Mickey Moniak (L)24.6%3.0 PA

4Edouard Julien (L)27.9%3.0 PA

5TJ Rumfield (L)22.5%2.9 PA

6Willi Castro (L)24.6%2.0 PA

7Brenton Doyle (R)22.7%2.0 PA

8Jake McCarthy (L)20.7%2.0 PA

9Kyle Karros (R)23.7%2.0 PA

Michael Lorenzen · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.6% K/BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB20.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Edmundo Sosa (R)22.7%3.0 PA

2Kyle Schwarber (L)23.9%3.0 PA

3Dylan Moore (R)27.7%3.0 PA

4Alec Bohm (R)17.3%3.0 PA

5Bryson Stott (L)21.3%2.9 PA

6Otto Kemp (R)23.9%2.0 PA

7Brandon Marsh (L)18.4%2.0 PA

8J.T. Realmuto (R)22.8%2.0 PA

9Justin Crawford (L)22.2%2.0 PA