BAL @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, April 4, 2026

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

2–3

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 82°F Partly CloudyWind 15 mph, Out To LF

Shane Baz · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.6% K/BF

vs LHB21.5%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Oneil Cruz (L)29.7%3.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)20.8%3.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)25.7%3.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.3%3.0 PA

5Nick Yorke (R)21.3%2.8 PA

6Konnor Griffin (R)20.8%2.0 PA

7Spencer Horwitz (L)22.7%2.0 PA

8Nick Gonzales (R)19.6%2.0 PA

9Henry Davis (R)22.6%2.0 PA

Carmen Mlodzinski · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.1% K/BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB25.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Taylor Ward (R)22.1%3.0 PA

2Gunnar Henderson (L)23.1%3.0 PA

3Pete Alonso (R)25.2%3.0 PA

4Adley Rutschman (L)19.5%3.0 PA

5Dylan Beavers (L)22.1%2.7 PA

6Coby Mayo (R)26.4%2.0 PA

7Leody Taveras (L)23.4%2.0 PA

8Tyler O'Neill (R)23.2%2.0 PA

9Blaze Alexander (R)25.9%2.0 PA