PHI @ COL Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, April 4, 2026

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

2–1

Final

COL

Colorado Rockies

◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft☀ 60°F ClearWind 7 mph, R To L

Jesús Luzardo · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.4% K/BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB24.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Tyler Freeman (R)20.3%3.0 PA

2Victor Vodnik (R)22.0%3.0 PA

3Hunter Goodman (R)23.4%3.0 PA

4Ezequiel Tovar (R)23.7%3.0 PA

5TJ Rumfield (L)21.1%3.0 PA

6Willi Castro (R)23.0%2.2 PA

7Troy Johnston (L)21.6%2.0 PA

8Kyle Karros (R)22.7%2.0 PA

9Jake McCarthy (L)22.7%2.0 PA

Brennan Bernardino · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.1% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%

vs RHB20.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.2 BF

Expected batters faced16.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Trea Turner (R)21.1%2.0 PA

2Kyle Schwarber (L)27.4%2.0 PA

3Bryce Harper (L)20.2%2.0 PA

4Alec Bohm (R)17.8%2.0 PA

5Bryson Stott (L)20.1%2.0 PA

6Adolis García (R)22.7%2.0 PA

7Brandon Marsh (L)27.0%2.0 PA

8J.T. Realmuto (R)22.7%1.3 PA

9Justin Crawford (L)21.8%1.0 PA