SD @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, April 4, 2026

San Diego Padres

3–2

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 43°F CloudyWind 13 mph, In From RF

Randy Vásquez · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.8% K/BF

vs LHB21.6%

vs RHB23.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Roman Anthony (L)27.5%3.0 PA

2Trevor Story (R)29.5%3.0 PA

3Aroldis Chapman (L)22.0%3.0 PA

4Willson Contreras (R)24.7%3.0 PA

5Wilyer Abreu (L)22.7%3.0 PA

6Masataka Yoshida (L)19.5%2.0 PA

7Marcelo Mayer (L)25.1%2.0 PA

8Carlos Narváez (R)25.2%2.0 PA

9Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.4%2.0 PA

Connelly Early · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.3% K/BF

vs LHB24.8%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)21.2%3.0 PA

2Ramón Laureano (R)21.7%3.0 PA

3Miguel Andujar (R)18.6%3.0 PA

4Manny Machado (R)20.9%3.0 PA

5Xander Bogaerts (R)17.7%2.8 PA

6Freddy Fermin (R)22.3%2.0 PA

7Ty France (R)23.7%2.0 PA

8Jake Cronenworth (L)21.3%2.0 PA

9Jackson Merrill (L)23.3%2.0 PA