SD @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, April 5, 2026

San Diego Padres

8–6

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 47°F OvercastWind 2 mph, Out To RF

Walker Buehler · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.7% K/BF

vs LHB20.1%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Roman Anthony (L)26.6%3.0 PA

2Trevor Story (R)28.6%3.0 PA

3Jarren Duran (L)22.4%3.0 PA

4Willson Contreras (R)23.9%3.0 PA

5Wilyer Abreu (L)22.8%2.6 PA

6Ceddanne Rafaela (R)22.1%2.0 PA

7Caleb Durbin (R)21.9%2.0 PA

8Marcelo Mayer (L)26.3%2.0 PA

9Carlos Narváez (R)24.2%2.0 PA

Ranger Suarez · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.6% K/BF

vs LHB23.2%

vs RHB19.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Ramón Laureano (R)20.8%3.0 PA

2Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.1%3.0 PA

3Jackson Merrill (L)23.3%3.0 PA

4Manny Machado (R)20.3%3.0 PA

5Miguel Andujar (R)19.2%2.7 PA

6Xander Bogaerts (R)17.3%2.0 PA

7Ty France (R)22.9%2.0 PA

8Jake Cronenworth (L)20.1%2.0 PA

9Freddy Fermin (R)21.6%2.0 PA