DET @ MIN Strikeouts matchups · Monday, April 6, 2026

DET

Detroit Tigers

3–7

Final

MIN

Minnesota Twins

◆ Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 37°F ClearWind 6 mph, R To L

Casey Mize · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.4% K/BF

vs LHB24.8%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Byron Buxton (R)23.8%3.0 PA

2Austin Martin (R)20.8%3.0 PA

3Luke Keaschall (R)15.4%3.0 PA

4Kody Clemens (L)26.9%3.0 PA

5Victor Caratini (L)18.2%2.9 PA

6Matt Wallner (L)33.6%2.0 PA

7Royce Lewis (R)23.8%2.0 PA

8James Outman (L)25.4%2.0 PA

9Brooks Lee (L)21.1%2.0 PA

Joe Ryan · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.4% K/BF

vs LHB23.6%

vs RHB24.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Kevin McGonigle (L)18.1%3.0 PA

2Gleyber Torres (R)19.2%3.0 PA

3Colt Keith (L)22.3%3.0 PA

4Riley Greene (L)21.8%3.0 PA

5Spencer Torkelson (R)27.3%2.3 PA

6Zach McKinstry (L)22.8%2.0 PA

7Matt Vierling (R)20.7%2.0 PA

8Jahmai Jones (R)23.2%2.0 PA

9Jake Rogers (R)24.3%2.0 PA