Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Monday, April 6, 2026)?

Brandon Woodruff (MIL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.1 K against BOS. A 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Monday, April 6, 2026: Brandon Woodruff (~6.1 K), Jacob deGrom (~5.8 K), Logan Gilbert (~5.8 K), Casey Mize (~5.8 K), Chris Sale (~5.7 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Monday, April 6, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Monday, April 6, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Final · 4–6

CHCaway

TBhomeTop matchup26 Final · 4–2

KCaway

CLEhomeTop matchup52 Final · 5–0

SDaway

PIThomeTop matchup36 Final · 2–0

CINaway

MIAhomeTop matchup57 Final · 6–9

STLaway

WSHhomeTop matchup16 Final · 8–6

MILaway

BOShomeTop matchup100 Final · 14–2

LADaway

TORhomeTop matchup43 Final · 3–7

DETaway

MINhomeTop matchup74 Final · 2–1

BALaway

CWShomeTop matchup33 Final · 1–2

SEAaway

TEXhomeTop matchup95 Final · 7–9

HOUaway

COLhomeTop matchup60 Final · 2–6

ATLaway

LAAhomeTop matchup70 Final · 6–4

PHIaway

SFhomeTop matchup46

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.8% K/BF

vs LHB23.3%

vs RHB26.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Roman Anthony (L)26.5%3.0

2. Masataka Yoshida (L)20.0%3.0

3. Willson Contreras (R)25.0%3.0

4. Wilyer Abreu (L)22.4%3.0

5. Trevor Story (R)29.4%2.6

6. Andruw Monasterio (R)24.1%2.0

7. Caleb Durbin (R)21.3%2.0

8. Carlos Narváez (R)23.3%2.0

9. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.1% K/BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB27.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brendan Donovan (L)18.7%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (L)30.1%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)25.1%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)16.2%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)19.4%2.7

6. Rob Refsnyder (R)26.2%2.0

7. J.P. Crawford (L)25.1%2.0

8. Cole Young (L)25.3%2.0

9. Leo Rivas (L)29.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.2% K/BF

vs LHB27.4%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brandon Nimmo (L)23.4%3.0

2. Wyatt Langford (R)21.3%3.0

3. Corey Seager (L)23.3%3.0

4. Jake Burger (R)26.2%3.0

5. Joc Pederson (L)20.3%2.8

6. Evan Carter (L)22.3%2.0

7. Danny Jansen (R)23.3%2.0

8. Josh Smith (L)18.4%2.0

9. Ezequiel Duran (R)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.4% K/BF

vs LHB24.8%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)23.8%3.0

2. Austin Martin (R)20.8%3.0

3. Luke Keaschall (R)15.4%3.0

4. Kody Clemens (L)26.9%3.0

5. Victor Caratini (L)18.2%2.9

6. Matt Wallner (L)33.6%2.0

7. Royce Lewis (R)23.8%2.0

8. James Outman (L)25.4%2.0

9. Brooks Lee (L)21.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.7% K/BF

vs LHB24.6%

vs RHB23.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)21.6%3.0

2. Josh Lowe (L)26.9%3.0

3. Jo Adell (R)21.5%3.0

4. Jeimer Candelario (R)24.0%3.0

5. Logan O'Hoppe (R)21.9%2.6

6. Oswald Peraza (R)26.6%2.0

7. Yoán Moncada (R)26.3%2.0

8. Bryce Teodosio (R)25.2%2.0

9. Adam Frazier (L)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.8% K/BF

vs LHB24.6%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ezequiel Tovar (R)23.1%3.0

2. Mickey Moniak (L)20.3%3.0

3. Hunter Goodman (R)27.1%3.0

4. Troy Johnston (L)23.5%2.9

5. TJ Rumfield (L)22.8%2.0

6. Willi Castro (L)24.8%2.0

7. Brenton Doyle (R)25.1%2.0

8. Jake McCarthy (L)19.7%2.0

9. Kyle Karros (R)25.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.4% K/BF

vs LHB23.6%

vs RHB24.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Kevin McGonigle (L)18.1%3.0

2. Gleyber Torres (R)19.2%3.0

3. Colt Keith (L)22.3%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)21.8%3.0

5. Spencer Torkelson (R)27.3%2.3

6. Zach McKinstry (L)22.8%2.0

7. Matt Vierling (R)20.7%2.0

8. Jahmai Jones (R)23.2%2.0

9. Jake Rogers (R)24.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.1% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%

vs RHB21.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. TJ Friedl (L)23.5%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)26.7%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (L)25.4%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)22.4%3.0

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)28.4%2.6

6. Dane Myers (R)21.4%2.0

7. Will Benson (L)25.6%2.0

8. Tyler Stephenson (R)23.7%2.0

9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)16.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.5% K/BF

vs LHB24.2%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Steven Kwan (L)17.3%3.0

2. Chase DeLauter (L)22.4%3.0

3. José Ramírez (L)19.2%3.0

4. David Fry (R)25.0%3.0

5. Rhys Hoskins (R)24.9%2.7

6. Bo Naylor (L)25.1%2.0

7. CJ Kayfus (L)25.5%2.0

8. Daniel Schneemann (L)25.2%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)16.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.7% K/BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)17.8%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)21.4%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)19.4%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)18.6%3.0

5. Carter Jensen (L)26.4%2.2

6. Michael Massey (L)14.6%2.0

7. Lane Thomas (R)24.4%2.0

8. Isaac Collins (L)20.3%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)20.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.8% K/BF

vs LHB27.5%

vs RHB21.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)24.6%3.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)14.4%3.0

3. Matt Chapman (R)21.3%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)25.3%3.0

5. Heliot Ramos (R)26.3%2.8

6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)20.5%2.0

7. Jerar Encarnacion (R)23.2%2.0

8. Harrison Bader (R)25.2%2.0

9. Patrick Bailey (L)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.2% K/BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB23.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.1%3.0

2. Kyle Tucker (L)18.4%3.0

3. Santiago Espinal (R)15.3%3.0

4. Teoscar Hernández (R)23.8%3.0

5. Max Muncy (L)25.1%2.9

6. Alex Call (R)18.7%2.0

7. Alex Freeland (L)24.6%2.0

8. Dalton Rushing (L)32.9%2.0

9. Hyeseong Kim (L)27.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.7% K/BF

vs LHB23.2%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ramón Laureano (R)23.5%3.0

2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)21.8%3.0

3. Jackson Merrill (L)18.7%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)22.0%3.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)19.0%2.6

6. Gavin Sheets (L)22.7%2.0

7. Nick Castellanos (R)22.2%2.0

8. Freddy Fermin (R)22.3%2.0

9. Jake Cronenworth (L)22.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.8% K/BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)20.1%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)16.3%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)25.6%3.0

4. Austin Riley (R)25.4%3.0

5. Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.1%2.9

6. Ozzie Albies (L)19.3%2.0

7. Dominic Smith (L)19.8%2.0

8. Michael Harris II (L)18.9%2.0

9. Mauricio Dubón (R)17.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.9% K/BF

vs LHB17.5%

vs RHB21.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Chase Meidroth (R)20.6%3.0

2. Munetaka Murakami (L)25.0%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)21.3%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)28.1%3.0

5. Lenyn Sosa (R)21.4%3.0

6. Andrew Benintendi (L)26.1%2.0

7. Edgar Quero (L)19.7%2.0

8. Tristan Peters (L)26.3%2.0

9. Luisangel Acuña (R)20.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.7% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB21.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)18.0%3.0

2. Alex Bregman (R)22.5%3.0

3. Ian Happ (R)27.1%3.0

4. Carson Kelly (R)22.1%3.0

5. Michael Busch (L)20.3%2.6

6. Dansby Swanson (R)26.0%2.0

7. Matt Shaw (R)19.7%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)25.8%2.0

9. Dylan Carlson (R)24.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.7% K/BF

vs LHB22.3%

vs RHB23.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)20.8%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)18.4%3.0

3. Jose Altuve (R)18.9%3.0

4. Carlos Correa (R)17.7%2.7

5. Christian Walker (R)19.8%2.0

6. Cam Smith (R)22.7%2.0

7. Joey Loperfido (L)25.1%2.0

8. Yainer Diaz (R)18.7%2.0

9. Jake Meyers (R)19.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.6% K/BF

vs LHB27.1%

vs RHB23.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.8 BF

Expected batters faced16.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)22.4%2.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)23.2%2.0

3. Pete Alonso (R)25.3%2.0

4. Adley Rutschman (L)19.0%2.0

5. Tyler O'Neill (R)24.6%2.0

6. Ryan Mountcastle (R)21.8%2.0

7. Colton Cowser (L)24.2%2.0

8. Blaze Alexander (R)25.6%1.8

9. Jeremiah Jackson (R)23.7%1.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.5% K/BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB20.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Owen Caissie (L)27.6%3.0

2. Agustín Ramírez (R)22.2%3.0

3. Jakob Marsee (L)25.0%3.0

4. Otto Lopez (R)17.2%3.0

5. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.1%2.9

6. Connor Norby (R)21.4%2.0

7. Xavier Edwards (R)18.6%2.0

8. Liam Hicks (L)18.0%2.0

9. Javier Sanoja (R)20.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.4% K/BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB19.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)20.4%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)24.2%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)22.2%3.0

4. Alec Bohm (R)18.3%3.0

5. Bryson Stott (L)21.6%3.0

6. Adolis García (R)24.1%2.2

7. Brandon Marsh (L)20.3%2.0

8. J.T. Realmuto (R)21.9%2.0

9. Justin Crawford (L)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.1% K/BF

vs LHB20.1%

vs RHB21.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brandon Valenzuela (R)23.5%3.0

2. Davis Schneider (R)23.9%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)17.5%3.0

4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)21.7%3.0

5. Ernie Clement (R)16.4%2.3

6. Daulton Varsho (L)18.5%2.0

7. Myles Straw (R)19.0%2.0

8. Tyler Heineman (R)19.4%2.0

9. Andrés Giménez (L)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.1% K/BF

vs LHB19.6%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)28.4%3.0

2. Curtis Mead (R)24.2%3.0

3. Brady House (R)27.0%3.0

4. Daylen Lile (L)17.2%3.0

5. CJ Abrams (L)18.7%2.8

6. Nasim Nuñez (L)21.3%2.0

7. José Tena (L)22.7%2.0

8. Drew Millas (L)19.7%2.0

9. Joey Wiemer (R)23.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.8% K/BF

vs LHB19.3%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brice Turang (L)22.6%3.0

2. William Contreras (R)16.5%3.0

3. Christian Yelich (L)23.1%3.0

4. Garrett Mitchell (L)26.7%3.0

5. Jake Bauers (L)23.6%3.0

6. Luis Rengifo (L)19.8%2.2

7. Sal Frelick (L)20.9%2.0

8. David Hamilton (L)20.6%2.0

9. Blake Perkins (L)26.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.9% K/BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB18.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)22.1%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)19.3%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)17.0%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)24.3%3.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)26.2%3.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)21.6%2.0

7. Ramón Urías (R)24.1%2.0

8. Nathan Church (L)24.6%2.0

9. Victor Scott II (L)25.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.0% K/BF

vs LHB18.2%

vs RHB18.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Oneil Cruz (L)28.9%3.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)19.4%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)24.0%3.0

4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.9%3.0

5. Marcell Ozuna (R)25.7%2.4

6. Nick Gonzales (R)18.6%2.0

7. Spencer Horwitz (L)21.4%2.0

8. Konnor Griffin (R)18.6%2.0

9. Jake Mangum (L)22.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.8% K/BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB19.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Yandy Díaz (R)17.9%3.0

2. Jonathan Aranda (L)20.7%3.0

3. Jake Fraley (L)20.1%3.0

4. Junior Caminero (R)21.0%3.0

5. Chandler Simpson (L)14.7%2.7

6. Nick Fortes (R)17.7%2.0

7. Cedric Mullins (L)24.9%2.0

8. Ben Williamson (R)22.5%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Monday, April 6, 2026

Brandon Woodruff (MIL) is the top strikeout start on the Monday, April 6, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.1 K, with Jacob deGrom (TEX) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Brandon Woodruff

Brandon Woodruff (MIL) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.1 K against BOS. He's missing bats at a 26% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and BOS has been whiff-prone, going down 24% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Jacob deGrom (TEX) (95) — about 5.8 K vs SEA: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Logan Gilbert (SEA) (77) — about 5.8 K vs TEX: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Casey Mize (DET) (74) — about 5.8 K vs MIN: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Chris Sale (ATL) (70) — about 5.7 K vs LAA: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Cody Bolton (HOU) (60) — about 5.5 K vs COL: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

SEA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Jacob deGrom is the arm to exploit it (95).
LAA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Chris Sale is the arm to exploit it (70).
BOS is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Brandon Woodruff is the arm to exploit it (100).
CIN is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Janson Junk is the arm to exploit it (57).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 4.7 strikeouts. Top play Brandon Woodruff punched out 4. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) blends his strikeout rate against every hitter in the lineup — hand by hand, combined the log5 way — then scales by how deep he's been going (expected batters faced) and his command (K-BB%). Higher means more whiffs point his way. We project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Monday, April 6, 2026)?: Brandon Woodruff (MIL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.1 K against BOS. A 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Monday, April 6, 2026: Brandon Woodruff (~6.1 K), Jacob deGrom (~5.8 K), Logan Gilbert (~5.8 K), Casey Mize (~5.8 K), Chris Sale (~5.7 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Monday, April 6, 2026?: Brandon Woodruff punched out 4.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.