HOU @ COL Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, April 7, 2026

HOU

Houston Astros

1–5

Final

COL

Colorado Rockies

◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft☀ 71°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, In From CF

Mike Burrows · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.1% K/BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB24.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Hunter Goodman (R)26.8%3.0 PA

2Mickey Moniak (L)21.6%3.0 PA

3Ezequiel Tovar (R)23.1%3.0 PA

4Troy Johnston (L)22.1%3.0 PA

5TJ Rumfield (L)21.7%3.0 PA

6Willi Castro (L)23.8%2.4 PA

7Brenton Doyle (R)26.1%2.0 PA

8Brett Sullivan (L)22.6%2.0 PA

9Kyle Karros (R)26.7%2.0 PA

Kyle Freeland · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.9% K/BF

vs LHB21.7%

vs RHB19.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Jeremy Peña (R)19.3%3.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)19.1%3.0 PA

3Jose Altuve (R)20.5%3.0 PA

4Isaac Paredes (R)20.3%3.0 PA

5Christian Walker (R)23.1%2.7 PA

6Cam Smith (R)24.7%2.0 PA

7Jake Meyers (R)22.6%2.0 PA

8Yainer Diaz (R)21.3%2.0 PA

9Joey Loperfido (L)22.3%2.0 PA