Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Tuesday, April 7, 2026)?

Garrett Crochet (BOS) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against MIL. A 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Tuesday, April 7, 2026: Garrett Crochet (~6.4 K), Jacob Misiorowski (~6.9 K), Kevin Gausman (~6.2 K), Cam Schlittler (~6.3 K), Cristopher Sánchez (~6.1 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Tuesday, April 7, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Final · 1–2

KCaway

CLEhomeTop matchup63 Final · 4–2

BALaway

CWShomeTop matchup30 Final · 3–4

AZaway

NYMhomeTop matchup62 Final · 1–7

SDaway

PIThomeTop matchup57 Final · 9–2

CHCaway

TBhomeTop matchup8 Final · 6–3

CINaway

MIAhomeTop matchup47 Final · 7–6

STLaway

WSHhomeTop matchup16 Final · 2–3

MILaway

BOShomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–5

ATHaway

NYYhomeTop matchup88 Final · 4–1

LADaway

TORhomeTop matchup99 Final · 2–4

DETaway

MINhomeTop matchup51 Final · 2–3

SEAaway

TEXhomeTop matchup59 Final · 1–5

HOUaway

COLhomeTop matchup64 Final · 7–2

ATLaway

LAAhomeTop matchup39 Final · 0–6

PHIaway

SFhomeTop matchup82

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB29.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Christian Yelich (L)24.9%3.0

2. William Contreras (R)23.2%3.0

3. Luis Rengifo (R)20.3%3.0

4. Gary Sánchez (R)24.2%3.0

5. Joey Ortiz (R)22.6%3.0

6. Luis Matos (R)25.1%2.1

7. Sal Frelick (L)19.6%2.0

8. Blake Perkins (R)20.5%2.0

9. David Hamilton (L)22.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate30.7% K/BF

vs LHB30.1%

vs RHB26.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Roman Anthony (L)25.7%3.0

2. Jarren Duran (L)24.7%3.0

3. Willson Contreras (R)24.2%3.0

4. Wilyer Abreu (L)23.7%3.0

5. Trevor Story (R)28.6%2.9

6. Caleb Durbin (R)20.3%2.0

7. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)22.2%2.0

8. Connor Wong (R)23.3%2.0

9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate33.1% K/BF

vs LHB27.6%

vs RHB30.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)24.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)24.4%3.0

2. Kyle Tucker (L)17.8%3.0

3. Will Smith (R)19.0%3.0

4. Freddie Freeman (L)17.2%3.0

5. Teoscar Hernández (R)23.0%2.4

6. Andy Pages (R)18.8%2.0

7. Max Muncy (L)26.4%2.0

8. Hyeseong Kim (L)22.1%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)24.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate29.3% K/BF

vs LHB27.3%

vs RHB26.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nick Kurtz (L)26.7%3.0

2. Shea Langeliers (R)23.9%3.0

3. Tyler Soderstrom (L)23.3%3.0

4. Brent Rooker (R)27.0%3.0

5. Jacob Wilson (R)17.3%2.2

6. Lawrence Butler (L)24.4%2.0

7. Andy Ibáñez (R)21.5%2.0

8. Jeff McNeil (L)23.6%2.0

9. Carlos Cortes (L)20.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.3% K/BF

vs LHB23.9%

vs RHB28.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)25.4%3.0

2. Matt Chapman (R)21.6%3.0

3. Luis Arraez (L)15.9%3.0

4. Heliot Ramos (R)25.0%3.0

5. Rafael Devers (L)23.1%2.9

6. Casey Schmitt (R)21.2%2.0

7. Jung Hoo Lee (L)19.0%2.0

8. Daniel Susac (R)20.4%2.0

9. Harrison Bader (R)24.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.1% K/BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB24.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Hunter Goodman (R)26.8%3.0

2. Mickey Moniak (L)21.6%3.0

3. Ezequiel Tovar (R)23.1%3.0

4. Troy Johnston (L)22.1%3.0

5. TJ Rumfield (L)21.7%3.0

6. Willi Castro (L)23.8%2.4

7. Brenton Doyle (R)26.1%2.0

8. Brett Sullivan (L)22.6%2.0

9. Kyle Karros (R)26.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.5% K/BF

vs LHB26.1%

vs RHB26.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)17.1%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)20.5%3.0

3. Lane Thomas (R)24.4%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)19.1%3.0

5. Carter Jensen (L)26.7%2.9

6. Jonathan India (R)20.8%2.0

7. Jac Caglianone (L)21.2%2.0

8. Isaac Collins (L)21.9%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)20.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.3% K/BF

vs LHB26.5%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)19.2%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)23.2%3.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.7%3.0

4. Gabriel Moreno (R)21.0%3.0

5. Jose Fernandez (R)24.6%2.6

6. Nolan Arenado (R)23.1%2.0

7. Ildemaro Vargas (L)19.8%2.0

8. Tim Tawa (R)21.1%2.0

9. Jorge Barrosa (L)23.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB26.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. George Springer (R)24.0%3.0

2. Daulton Varsho (L)23.0%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)17.7%3.0

4. Jesús Sánchez (L)22.9%3.0

5. Kazuma Okamoto (R)33.3%2.7

6. Ernie Clement (R)15.6%2.0

7. Davis Schneider (R)23.3%2.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)18.3%2.0

9. Tyler Heineman (L)20.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.3% K/BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB24.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brendan Donovan (L)19.4%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (L)29.2%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)25.3%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)15.7%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)20.0%2.9

6. Luke Raley (L)27.5%2.0

7. J.P. Crawford (L)24.8%2.0

8. Dominic Canzone (L)21.1%2.0

9. Cole Young (L)25.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.6%

vs RHB24.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.4%3.0

2. Wyatt Langford (R)21.4%3.0

3. Corey Seager (L)22.3%3.0

4. Jake Burger (R)26.2%3.0

5. Joc Pederson (L)20.8%3.0

6. Evan Carter (L)21.9%2.0

7. Kyle Higashioka (R)21.6%2.0

8. Josh Smith (L)19.0%2.0

9. Ezequiel Duran (R)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.6% K/BF

vs LHB25.3%

vs RHB25.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Oneil Cruz (L)28.8%3.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)18.6%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)24.0%3.0

4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)21.0%3.0

5. Nick Yorke (R)20.3%2.1

6. Nick Gonzales (R)18.9%2.0

7. Jake Mangum (L)22.6%2.0

8. Konnor Griffin (R)20.6%2.0

9. Henry Davis (R)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.1% K/BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB23.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)21.6%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)28.4%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)19.3%3.0

4. Adolis García (R)22.7%3.0

5. Edmundo Sosa (R)21.6%2.7

6. Rafael Marchán (R)20.2%2.0

7. Otto Kemp (R)25.0%2.0

8. Dylan Moore (R)23.3%2.0

9. Justin Crawford (L)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.6% K/BF

vs LHB24.3%

vs RHB23.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jahmai Jones (R)22.8%3.0

2. Kevin McGonigle (L)18.2%3.0

3. Gleyber Torres (R)19.2%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)21.2%3.0

5. Dillon Dingler (R)24.5%2.7

6. Zach McKinstry (L)23.4%2.0

7. Spencer Torkelson (R)27.7%2.0

8. Matt Vierling (R)22.6%2.0

9. Javier Báez (R)23.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.6% K/BF

vs LHB24.2%

vs RHB21.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)24.9%3.0

2. Austin Martin (R)20.3%3.0

3. Luke Keaschall (R)22.7%3.0

4. Ryan Jeffers (R)19.4%3.0

5. Victor Caratini (R)20.1%3.0

6. Josh Bell (R)25.6%2.1

7. Matt Wallner (L)25.2%2.0

8. Royce Lewis (R)23.2%2.0

9. Brooks Lee (R)23.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.2% K/BF

vs LHB22.9%

vs RHB19.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.0 BF

Expected batters faced24.0

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. TJ Friedl (L)23.5%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)26.6%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (L)24.4%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)21.3%3.0

5. Will Benson (L)25.7%3.0

6. Spencer Steer (R)24.1%3.0

7. Tyler Stephenson (R)22.8%2.0

8. Noelvi Marte (R)20.9%2.0

9. Dane Myers (R)21.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.3% K/BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB24.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ramón Laureano (R)23.3%3.0

2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)21.7%3.0

3. Jackson Merrill (L)19.0%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)22.1%2.3

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)18.2%2.0

6. Gavin Sheets (L)22.8%2.0

7. Miguel Andujar (R)23.3%2.0

8. Freddy Fermin (R)23.6%2.0

9. Jake Cronenworth (L)22.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.8% K/BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)23.4%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)24.1%3.0

3. Nolan Schanuel (L)17.7%3.0

4. Jeimer Candelario (L)24.7%3.0

5. Yoán Moncada (L)24.9%2.6

6. Jo Adell (R)23.4%2.0

7. Bryce Teodosio (R)22.7%2.0

8. Travis d'Arnaud (R)25.0%2.0

9. Adam Frazier (L)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.4% K/BF

vs LHB22.6%

vs RHB21.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Steven Kwan (L)18.0%3.0

2. Daniel Schneemann (L)22.7%3.0

3. José Ramírez (R)16.6%3.0

4. Chase DeLauter (L)23.3%3.0

5. Kyle Manzardo (L)22.8%2.7

6. Juan Brito (R)22.0%2.0

7. CJ Kayfus (L)25.0%2.0

8. Bo Naylor (L)20.7%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (R)23.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.1% K/BF

vs LHB20.0%

vs RHB21.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)21.3%3.0

2. Aaron Judge (R)26.7%3.0

3. Cody Bellinger (L)17.6%3.0

4. Ben Rice (L)21.7%3.0

5. Randal Grichuk (R)18.0%2.7

6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)26.1%2.0

7. Ryan McMahon (L)27.9%2.0

8. Austin Wells (L)23.6%2.0

9. José Caballero (R)24.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.1% K/BF

vs LHB20.5%

vs RHB19.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Chase Meidroth (R)22.0%3.0

2. Lenyn Sosa (R)23.1%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)20.5%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)22.2%3.0

5. Edgar Quero (R)21.8%3.0

6. Dustin Harris (L)23.1%2.5

7. Tristan Peters (L)24.1%2.0

8. Munetaka Murakami (L)25.9%2.0

9. Derek Hill (R)23.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.9% K/BF

vs LHB17.8%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Francisco Lindor (L)20.3%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)20.9%3.0

3. Ronny Mauricio (L)26.0%3.0

4. Luis Robert Jr. (R)20.9%3.0

5. Brett Baty (L)24.0%2.4

6. Jared Young (L)21.3%2.0

7. Marcus Semien (R)25.1%2.0

8. Carson Benge (L)22.7%2.0

9. Francisco Alvarez (R)22.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.5% K/BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB20.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)21.9%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)18.0%3.0

3. Ozzie Albies (R)16.4%3.0

4. Matt Olson (L)24.5%3.0

5. Austin Riley (R)19.8%3.0

6. Mauricio Dubón (R)21.7%2.2

7. Michael Harris II (L)21.3%2.0

8. Jonah Heim (R)19.1%2.0

9. Mike Yastrzemski (L)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.6% K/BF

vs LHB21.0%

vs RHB18.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)21.6%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)25.1%3.0

3. Pete Alonso (R)24.3%3.0

4. Samuel Basallo (L)25.2%2.4

5. Tyler O'Neill (R)23.6%2.0

6. Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.8%2.0

7. Leody Taveras (L)23.2%2.0

8. Coby Mayo (R)27.0%2.0

9. Blaze Alexander (R)25.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.9% K/BF

vs LHB21.7%

vs RHB19.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)19.3%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)19.1%3.0

3. Jose Altuve (R)20.5%3.0

4. Isaac Paredes (R)20.3%3.0

5. Christian Walker (R)23.1%2.7

6. Cam Smith (R)24.7%2.0

7. Jake Meyers (R)22.6%2.0

8. Yainer Diaz (R)21.3%2.0

9. Joey Loperfido (L)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.5% K/BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB19.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Griffin Conine (L)20.4%3.0

2. Agustín Ramírez (R)21.3%3.0

3. Jakob Marsee (L)25.3%3.0

4. Otto Lopez (R)16.6%3.0

5. Graham Pauley (L)20.6%3.0

6. Connor Norby (R)20.6%2.2

7. Xavier Edwards (R)19.2%2.0

8. Liam Hicks (L)18.0%2.0

9. Javier Sanoja (R)19.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.4% K/BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB15.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)26.1%3.0

2. Luis García Jr. (L)19.5%3.0

3. Brady House (R)23.6%3.0

4. Daylen Lile (L)20.5%3.0

5. Jorbit Vivas (L)20.3%3.0

6. CJ Abrams (L)23.8%2.0

7. Jacob Young (R)19.5%2.0

8. Nasim Nuñez (R)22.9%2.0

9. Drew Millas (R)28.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.3% K/BF

vs LHB24.6%

vs RHB16.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)3.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)22.2%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)19.6%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)16.5%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)25.7%3.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)26.7%2.6

6. Masyn Winn (R)21.9%2.0

7. Thomas Saggese (R)23.2%2.0

8. Yohel Pozo (R)20.3%2.0

9. Nathan Church (L)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.5% K/BF

vs LHB20.1%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.0 BF

Expected batters faced18.0

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)16.7%2.0

2. Michael Busch (L)21.8%2.0

3. Alex Bregman (R)15.2%2.0

4. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.5%2.0

5. Miguel Amaya (R)20.2%2.0

6. Moisés Ballesteros (L)24.8%2.0

7. Dansby Swanson (R)24.3%2.0

8. Michael Conforto (L)25.9%2.0

9. Matt Shaw (R)20.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.7% K/BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB16.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Yandy Díaz (R)18.2%3.0

2. Jonathan Aranda (L)20.9%3.0

3. Ryan Vilade (R)23.7%3.0

4. Junior Caminero (R)21.4%3.0

5. Chandler Simpson (L)14.2%3.0

6. Cedric Mullins (L)24.1%2.0

7. Nick Fortes (R)18.2%2.0

8. Richie Palacios (L)18.4%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (L)21.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Garrett Crochet (BOS) is the top strikeout start on the Tuesday, April 7, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K, with Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Garrett Crochet

Garrett Crochet (BOS) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against MIL. He's missing bats at a 28% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and MIL has been around league average, going down 23% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) (100) — about 6.9 K vs BOS: a 31% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Kevin Gausman (TOR) (99) — about 6.2 K vs LAD: a 33% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Cam Schlittler (NYY) (88) — about 6.3 K vs ATH: a 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) (82) — about 6.1 K vs SF: a 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Mike Burrows (HOU) (64) — about 5.7 K vs COL: a 23% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

BAL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Shane Smith is the arm to exploit it (21).
COL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Mike Burrows is the arm to exploit it (64).
BOS is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Jacob Misiorowski is the arm to exploit it (100).
CIN is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Sandy Alcantara is the arm to exploit it (47).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 6.4 strikeouts. Top play Garrett Crochet punched out 7. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) blends his strikeout rate against every hitter in the lineup — hand by hand, combined the log5 way — then scales by how deep he's been going (expected batters faced) and his command (K-BB%). Higher means more whiffs point his way. We project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Tuesday, April 7, 2026)?: Garrett Crochet (BOS) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against MIL. A 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Tuesday, April 7, 2026: Garrett Crochet (~6.4 K), Jacob Misiorowski (~6.9 K), Kevin Gausman (~6.2 K), Cam Schlittler (~6.3 K), Cristopher Sánchez (~6.1 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Tuesday, April 7, 2026?: Garrett Crochet punched out 7.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.