MIL @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, April 8, 2026

MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

0–5

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 43°F SunnyWind 8 mph, In From RF

Shane Drohan · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Roman Anthony (L)25.3%3.0 PA

2Andruw Monasterio (R)21.2%3.0 PA

3Willson Contreras (R)20.5%3.0 PA

4Wilyer Abreu (L)20.5%3.0 PA

5Trevor Story (R)23.4%3.0 PA

6Caleb Durbin (R)17.1%2.0 PA

7Carlos Narváez (R)20.8%2.0 PA

8Ceddanne Rafaela (R)22.7%2.0 PA

9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.7%2.0 PA

Sonny Gray · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.1% K/BF

vs LHB24.4%

vs RHB20.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Sal Frelick (L)20.2%3.0 PA

2Garrett Mitchell (L)28.1%3.0 PA

3Christian Yelich (L)22.0%3.0 PA

4Luis Matos (R)20.0%3.0 PA

5Gary Sánchez (R)26.0%2.6 PA

6Luis Rengifo (L)20.0%2.0 PA

7Brandon Lockridge (R)19.5%2.0 PA

8David Hamilton (L)19.9%2.0 PA

9Joey Ortiz (R)22.0%2.0 PA