BOS @ STL Strikeouts matchups · Friday, April 10, 2026

BOS

Boston Red Sox

2–3

Final

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 63°F CloudyWind 11 mph, In From RF

Connelly Early · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.6% K/BF

vs LHB23.9%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1JJ Wetherholt (L)21.5%3.0 PA

2Iván Herrera (R)18.4%3.0 PA

3Alec Burleson (L)17.5%3.0 PA

4Jordan Walker (R)23.8%3.0 PA

5Ramón Urías (R)23.7%2.4 PA

6Thomas Saggese (R)23.7%2.0 PA

7Nathan Church (L)22.9%2.0 PA

8Pedro Pagés (R)24.1%2.0 PA

9Victor Scott II (L)20.6%2.0 PA

Dustin May · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.2% K/BF

vs LHB21.0%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jarren Duran (L)25.9%3.0 PA

2Caleb Durbin (R)20.1%3.0 PA

3Masataka Yoshida (L)19.2%3.0 PA

4Willson Contreras (R)24.8%3.0 PA

5Wilyer Abreu (L)24.8%2.9 PA

6Trevor Story (R)28.5%2.0 PA

7Marcelo Mayer (L)27.3%2.0 PA

8Carlos Narváez (R)22.6%2.0 PA

9Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.1%2.0 PA