CHC @ PHI Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, April 14, 2026

CHC

Chicago Cubs

10–4

Final

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 85°F Partly CloudyWind 15 mph, Out To CF

Riley Martin · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.7 BF

Expected batters faced17.7

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Trea Turner (R)20.4%2.0 PA

2Kyle Schwarber (L)26.6%2.0 PA

3Bryce Harper (L)18.8%2.0 PA

4Adolis García (R)22.8%2.0 PA

5Otto Kemp (R)27.1%2.0 PA

6J.T. Realmuto (R)22.0%2.0 PA

7Bryson Stott (L)19.3%2.0 PA

8Edmundo Sosa (R)20.2%2.0 PA

9Justin Crawford (L)22.0%1.7 PA

Aaron Nola · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.4% K/BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB28.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)23.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Nico Hoerner (R)13.2%3.0 PA

2Michael Busch (L)23.9%3.0 PA

3Alex Bregman (R)16.1%3.0 PA

4Ian Happ (L)24.9%3.0 PA

5Seiya Suzuki (R)23.3%3.0 PA

6Miguel Amaya (R)24.7%2.1 PA

7Carson Kelly (R)19.2%2.0 PA

8Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.1%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)22.4%2.0 PA