Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Tuesday, April 14, 2026)?

MacKenzie Gore (TEX) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.7 K against ATH. A 31% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Tuesday, April 14, 2026: MacKenzie Gore (~6.7 K), Kevin Gausman (~5.9 K), Aaron Nola (~5.5 K), Spencer Arrighetti (~6.3 K), Jacob Misiorowski (~6.2 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Tuesday, April 14, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Tuesday, April 14, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Final · 4–3

AZaway

BALhomeTop matchup71 Final · 1–2

KCaway

DEThomeTop matchup69 Final · 5–4

WSHaway

PIThomeTop matchup38 Final · 1–2

SFaway

CINhomeTop matchup75 Final · 10–4

CHCaway

PHIhomeTop matchup79 Final · 7–1

LAAaway

NYYhomeTop matchup55 Final · 5–6

MIAaway

ATLhomeTop matchup54 Final · 0–6

BOSaway

MINhomeTop matchup47 Final · 8–5

TBaway

CWShomeTop matchup47 Final · 9–7

TORaway

MILhomeTop matchup89 Final · 5–6

CLEaway

STLhomeTop matchup69 Final · 6–7

COLaway

HOUhomeTop matchup79 Final · 1–4

SEAaway

SDhomeTop matchup54 Final · 1–2

TEXaway

ATHhomeTop matchup100 Final · 1–2

NYMaway

LADhomeTop matchup69

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate30.8% K/BF

vs LHB26.3%

vs RHB29.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Shea Langeliers (R)24.7%3.0

2. Nick Kurtz (L)29.9%3.0

3. Jacob Wilson (R)16.8%3.0

4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)25.3%3.0

5. Max Muncy (R)25.3%2.5

6. Austin Wynns (R)20.7%2.0

7. Lawrence Butler (L)26.0%2.0

8. Jeff McNeil (L)18.8%2.0

9. Denzel Clarke (R)22.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.9% K/BF

vs LHB24.1%

vs RHB29.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)23.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Sal Frelick (L)19.7%3.0

2. William Contreras (R)17.5%3.0

3. Brice Turang (L)20.8%3.0

4. Gary Sánchez (R)23.8%3.0

5. Jake Bauers (L)22.5%2.5

6. Brandon Lockridge (R)21.2%2.0

7. Garrett Mitchell (L)29.6%2.0

8. Joey Ortiz (R)21.7%2.0

9. Luis Rengifo (L)21.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.4% K/BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB28.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)23.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)13.2%3.0

2. Michael Busch (L)23.9%3.0

3. Alex Bregman (R)16.1%3.0

4. Ian Happ (L)24.9%3.0

5. Seiya Suzuki (R)23.3%3.0

6. Miguel Amaya (R)24.7%2.1

7. Carson Kelly (R)19.2%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.1%2.0

9. Dansby Swanson (R)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.7% K/BF

vs LHB27.2%

vs RHB23.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Tyler Freeman (R)19.6%3.0

2. Mickey Moniak (L)21.4%3.0

3. Hunter Goodman (R)27.2%3.0

4. Willi Castro (L)28.4%3.0

5. Brett Sullivan (L)22.7%3.0

6. Ezequiel Tovar (R)23.9%2.0

7. Jordan Beck (R)24.0%2.0

8. Edouard Julien (L)23.9%2.0

9. Troy Johnston (L)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate31.6% K/BF

vs LHB32.6%

vs RHB25.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ernie Clement (R)13.2%3.0

2. Daulton Varsho (L)20.4%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)17.0%3.0

4. Jesús Sánchez (L)24.1%3.0

5. Myles Straw (R)19.1%2.8

6. Davis Schneider (R)26.3%2.0

7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)31.0%2.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)17.9%2.0

9. Tyler Heineman (L)23.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.0% K/BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Dane Myers (R)23.5%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)21.7%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (R)24.6%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)19.4%3.0

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)26.7%3.0

6. Rece Hinds (R)34.8%2.0

7. Will Benson (L)22.5%2.0

8. Tyler Stephenson (R)22.4%2.0

9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)20.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.9% K/BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB25.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Gunnar Henderson (L)23.1%3.0

2. Taylor Ward (R)23.4%3.0

3. Pete Alonso (R)23.4%3.0

4. Samuel Basallo (L)24.9%3.0

5. Dylan Beavers (L)23.8%3.0

6. Leody Taveras (L)21.5%2.0

7. Colton Cowser (L)23.7%2.0

8. Jeremiah Jackson (R)23.1%2.0

9. Blaze Alexander (R)26.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.0% K/BF

vs LHB24.3%

vs RHB27.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)20.5%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)20.3%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)17.9%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)26.5%3.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)27.3%2.2

6. Masyn Winn (R)17.7%2.0

7. Yohel Pozo (R)18.9%2.0

8. Thomas Saggese (R)22.3%2.0

9. Nathan Church (L)23.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.8% K/BF

vs LHB27.0%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)24.9%3.0

2. Kyle Tucker (L)20.8%3.0

3. Will Smith (R)18.6%3.0

4. Freddie Freeman (L)17.8%3.0

5. Teoscar Hernández (R)24.5%2.5

6. Max Muncy (L)28.4%2.0

7. Andy Pages (R)23.0%2.0

8. Miguel Rojas (R)19.6%2.0

9. Santiago Espinal (R)20.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.2% K/BF

vs LHB24.1%

vs RHB27.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.9 BF

Expected batters faced20.9

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Gleyber Torres (R)23.5%3.0

2. Colt Keith (L)22.4%3.0

3. Kevin McGonigle (L)20.6%2.9

4. Dillon Dingler (R)21.4%2.0

5. Wenceel Pérez (R)22.6%2.0

6. Riley Greene (L)23.4%2.0

7. Spencer Torkelson (R)20.2%2.0

8. Javier Báez (R)21.7%2.0

9. Zach McKinstry (L)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.2% K/BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB24.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Francisco Lindor (L)20.3%3.0

2. Luis Robert Jr. (R)24.2%3.0

3. Jorge Polanco (L)19.8%3.0

4. Bo Bichette (R)21.4%3.0

5. Francisco Alvarez (R)20.6%2.8

6. Brett Baty (L)24.4%2.0

7. Mark Vientos (R)23.3%2.0

8. Marcus Semien (R)20.9%2.0

9. Carson Benge (L)20.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.8% K/BF

vs LHB19.9%

vs RHB24.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brandon Nimmo (L)23.1%3.0

2. Josh Smith (L)24.0%3.0

3. Corey Seager (L)22.9%3.0

4. Jake Burger (R)25.2%3.0

5. Evan Carter (L)27.1%2.9

6. Josh Jung (R)22.5%2.0

7. Joc Pederson (L)24.9%2.0

8. Danny Jansen (R)24.8%2.0

9. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.7% K/BF

vs LHB24.5%

vs RHB21.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)25.9%3.0

2. Aaron Judge (R)23.2%3.0

3. Amed Rosario (R)19.4%3.0

4. Giancarlo Stanton (R)23.8%3.0

5. Trent Grisham (L)21.8%3.0

6. Randal Grichuk (R)24.4%2.0

7. Austin Wells (L)23.0%2.0

8. José Caballero (R)26.2%2.0

9. Ben Rice (L)25.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.4% K/BF

vs LHB21.6%

vs RHB23.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brendan Donovan (L)17.0%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (L)24.9%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)23.9%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)17.4%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)20.7%2.9

6. Luke Raley (L)29.1%2.0

7. J.P. Crawford (L)20.3%2.0

8. Patrick Wisdom (R)26.5%2.0

9. Cole Young (L)23.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.7% K/BF

vs LHB21.4%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jakob Marsee (L)21.4%3.0

2. Xavier Edwards (L)17.0%3.0

3. Agustín Ramírez (R)21.1%3.0

4. Liam Hicks (L)15.7%3.0

5. Otto Lopez (R)21.1%2.5

6. Owen Caissie (L)25.8%2.0

7. Connor Norby (R)23.9%2.0

8. Javier Sanoja (R)18.0%2.0

9. Graham Pauley (L)24.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.2% K/BF

vs LHB22.8%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)21.5%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)18.0%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)24.6%3.0

4. Austin Riley (R)24.1%3.0

5. Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.1%2.8

6. Ozzie Albies (L)21.5%2.0

7. Jorge Mateo (R)21.9%2.0

8. Michael Harris II (L)20.4%2.0

9. Mauricio Dubón (R)16.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.6% K/BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ramón Laureano (R)23.5%3.0

2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)20.5%3.0

3. Jackson Merrill (L)18.4%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)20.5%3.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)17.5%2.9

6. Gavin Sheets (L)23.0%2.0

7. Ty France (R)18.2%2.0

8. Luis Campusano (R)20.7%2.0

9. Jake Cronenworth (L)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.5% K/BF

vs LHB21.6%

vs RHB19.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)25.0%3.0

2. Trevor Larnach (L)18.7%3.0

3. Luke Keaschall (R)17.9%3.0

4. Josh Bell (L)21.2%3.0

5. Matt Wallner (L)33.1%2.7

6. Victor Caratini (L)17.1%2.0

7. Kody Clemens (L)26.5%2.0

8. Brooks Lee (L)21.2%2.0

9. Tristan Gray (L)21.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.3% K/BF

vs LHB22.2%

vs RHB23.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Miguel Vargas (R)21.2%3.0

2. Chase Meidroth (R)23.1%3.0

3. Munetaka Murakami (L)28.4%3.0

4. Tristan Peters (L)24.4%3.0

5. Edgar Quero (R)21.3%2.0

6. Colson Montgomery (L)24.1%2.0

7. Andrew Benintendi (L)24.9%2.0

8. Dustin Harris (L)21.8%2.0

9. Luisangel Acuña (R)18.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Yandy Díaz (R)19.6%3.0

2. Jonathan Aranda (L)23.5%3.0

3. Junior Caminero (R)16.5%3.0

4. Ryan Vilade (R)24.5%3.0

5. Ben Williamson (R)21.1%3.0

6. Chandler Simpson (L)17.0%2.0

7. Jonny DeLuca (R)22.7%2.0

8. Nick Fortes (R)19.9%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (R)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.2% K/BF

vs LHB29.4%

vs RHB19.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)22.0%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)23.0%3.0

3. Jo Adell (R)19.1%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)23.6%3.0

5. Vaughn Grissom (R)20.2%2.9

6. Logan O'Hoppe (R)20.3%2.0

7. Adam Frazier (L)21.7%2.0

8. Oswald Peraza (R)25.5%2.0

9. Bryce Teodosio (R)26.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.8% K/BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB19.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Roman Anthony (L)23.6%3.0

2. Caleb Durbin (R)18.3%3.0

3. Masataka Yoshida (L)18.9%3.0

4. Andruw Monasterio (R)24.3%3.0

5. Wilyer Abreu (L)24.1%2.8

6. Trevor Story (R)26.7%2.0

7. Jarren Duran (L)25.1%2.0

8. Carlos Narváez (R)24.3%2.0

9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)20.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.9% K/BF

vs LHB21.4%

vs RHB19.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)18.7%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)18.6%3.0

3. Lane Thomas (R)20.6%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)20.5%3.0

5. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)25.6%3.0

6. Starling Marte (R)26.0%2.8

7. Jonathan India (R)21.6%2.0

8. Carter Jensen (L)21.6%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)25.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.9% K/BF

vs LHB23.8%

vs RHB19.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)22.1%3.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)12.2%3.0

3. Matt Chapman (R)20.4%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)24.8%3.0

5. Casey Schmitt (R)24.7%2.1

6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)18.5%2.0

7. Heliot Ramos (R)25.7%2.0

8. Daniel Susac (R)22.2%2.0

9. Jared Oliva (R)21.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.2% K/BF

vs LHB17.8%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Joey Wiemer (R)25.8%3.0

2. Curtis Mead (R)22.5%3.0

3. Brady House (R)26.5%3.0

4. Daylen Lile (L)16.9%3.0

5. CJ Abrams (L)17.6%3.0

6. Jacob Young (R)18.9%2.0

7. Jorbit Vivas (L)18.3%2.0

8. Keibert Ruiz (L)16.6%2.0

9. Nasim Nuñez (L)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.1% K/BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB19.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ildemaro Vargas (R)18.4%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)19.5%3.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (R)16.8%3.0

4. Jose Fernandez (R)19.4%3.0

5. Nolan Arenado (R)20.2%3.0

6. Luken Baker (R)23.3%2.6

7. James McCann (R)21.0%2.0

8. Tim Tawa (R)20.5%2.0

9. Jorge Barrosa (R)24.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.7 BF

Expected batters faced17.7

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)20.4%2.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)26.6%2.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)18.8%2.0

4. Adolis García (R)22.8%2.0

5. Otto Kemp (R)27.1%2.0

6. J.T. Realmuto (R)22.0%2.0

7. Bryson Stott (L)19.3%2.0

8. Edmundo Sosa (R)20.2%2.0

9. Justin Crawford (L)22.0%1.7

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.8% K/BF

vs LHB17.6%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Steven Kwan (L)15.3%3.0

2. Chase DeLauter (L)18.6%3.0

3. José Ramírez (L)17.5%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)24.9%3.0

5. Juan Brito (L)20.0%2.4

6. Angel Martínez (L)19.0%2.0

7. Daniel Schneemann (L)26.7%2.0

8. David Fry (R)25.5%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)16.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.2% K/BF

vs LHB19.0%

vs RHB18.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jose Altuve (R)16.0%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)15.9%3.0

3. Isaac Paredes (R)20.8%3.0

4. Carlos Correa (R)18.0%2.6

5. Christian Walker (R)20.6%2.0

6. Cam Smith (R)21.9%2.0

7. Joey Loperfido (L)26.4%2.0

8. Taylor Trammell (L)26.5%2.0

9. Christian Vázquez (R)20.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.9% K/BF

vs LHB22.6%

vs RHB19.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.6 BF

Expected batters faced13.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection2.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Oneil Cruz (L)23.5%2.0

2. Nick Yorke (R)22.1%2.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (R)23.0%2.0

4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)17.9%2.0

5. Marcell Ozuna (R)22.5%1.6

6. Nick Gonzales (R)22.7%1.0

7. Jake Mangum (R)18.5%1.0

8. Konnor Griffin (R)25.4%1.0

9. Billy Cook (R)22.7%1.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Tuesday, April 14, 2026

MacKenzie Gore (TEX) is the top strikeout start on the Tuesday, April 14, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.7 K, with Kevin Gausman (TOR) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: MacKenzie Gore

MacKenzie Gore (TEX) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.7 K against ATH. He's missing bats at a 31% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and ATH has been whiff-prone, going down 23% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Kevin Gausman (TOR) (89) — about 5.9 K vs MIL: a 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Aaron Nola (PHI) (79) — about 5.5 K vs CHC: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) (79) — about 6.3 K vs COL: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) (78) — about 6.2 K vs TOR: a 32% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Robbie Ray (SF) (75) — about 6.1 K vs CIN: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

TEX is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Jeffrey Springs is the arm to exploit it (61).
CIN is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Robbie Ray is the arm to exploit it (75).
COL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Spencer Arrighetti is the arm to exploit it (79).
NYY is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Reid Detmers is the arm to exploit it (55).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 4.7 strikeouts. Top play MacKenzie Gore punched out 5. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) blends his strikeout rate against every hitter in the lineup — hand by hand, combined the log5 way — then scales by how deep he's been going (expected batters faced) and his command (K-BB%). Higher means more whiffs point his way. We project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Tuesday, April 14, 2026)?: MacKenzie Gore (TEX) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.7 K against ATH. A 31% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Tuesday, April 14, 2026: MacKenzie Gore (~6.7 K), Kevin Gausman (~5.9 K), Aaron Nola (~5.5 K), Spencer Arrighetti (~6.3 K), Jacob Misiorowski (~6.2 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Tuesday, April 14, 2026?: MacKenzie Gore punched out 5.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.