COL @ HOU Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, April 14, 2026

COL

Colorado Rockies

6–7

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Michael Lorenzen · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.2% K/BF

vs LHB19.0%

vs RHB18.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jose Altuve (R)16.0%3.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)15.9%3.0 PA

3Isaac Paredes (R)20.8%3.0 PA

4Carlos Correa (R)18.0%2.6 PA

5Christian Walker (R)20.6%2.0 PA

6Cam Smith (R)21.9%2.0 PA

7Joey Loperfido (L)26.4%2.0 PA

8Taylor Trammell (L)26.5%2.0 PA

9Christian Vázquez (R)20.4%2.0 PA

Spencer Arrighetti · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.7% K/BF

vs LHB27.2%

vs RHB23.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Tyler Freeman (R)19.6%3.0 PA

2Mickey Moniak (L)21.4%3.0 PA

3Hunter Goodman (R)27.2%3.0 PA

4Willi Castro (L)28.4%3.0 PA

5Brett Sullivan (L)22.7%3.0 PA

6Ezequiel Tovar (R)23.9%2.0 PA

7Jordan Beck (R)24.0%2.0 PA

8Edouard Julien (L)23.9%2.0 PA

9Troy Johnston (L)22.1%2.0 PA