AZ @ BAL Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, April 14, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

4–3

Final

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 86°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, Out To CF

Merrill Kelly · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.9% K/BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB25.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Gunnar Henderson (L)23.1%3.0 PA

2Taylor Ward (R)23.4%3.0 PA

3Pete Alonso (R)23.4%3.0 PA

4Samuel Basallo (L)24.9%3.0 PA

5Dylan Beavers (L)23.8%3.0 PA

6Leody Taveras (L)21.5%2.0 PA

7Colton Cowser (L)23.7%2.0 PA

8Jeremiah Jackson (R)23.1%2.0 PA

9Blaze Alexander (R)26.1%2.0 PA

Trevor Rogers · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.1% K/BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB19.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Ildemaro Vargas (R)18.4%3.0 PA

2Corbin Carroll (L)19.5%3.0 PA

3Geraldo Perdomo (R)16.8%3.0 PA

4Jose Fernandez (R)19.4%3.0 PA

5Nolan Arenado (R)20.2%3.0 PA

6Luken Baker (R)23.3%2.6 PA

7James McCann (R)21.0%2.0 PA

8Tim Tawa (R)20.5%2.0 PA

9Jorge Barrosa (R)24.9%2.0 PA