COL @ HOU Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, April 16, 2026

COL

Colorado Rockies

3–2

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Juan Mejia · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.4% K/BF

vs LHB21.4%

vs RHB20.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.7 BF

Expected batters faced14.7

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection2.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jose Altuve (R)17.4%2.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)16.3%2.0 PA

3Isaac Paredes (R)19.7%2.0 PA

4Carlos Correa (R)17.0%2.0 PA

5Nick Allen (R)24.0%2.0 PA

6Joey Loperfido (L)28.1%1.7 PA

7Cam Smith (R)22.1%1.0 PA

8Taylor Trammell (L)27.2%1.0 PA

9Yainer Diaz (R)17.2%1.0 PA

Ryan Weiss · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.8% K/BF

vs LHB22.8%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.5 BF

Expected batters faced18.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Edouard Julien (L)24.4%2.5 PA

2Jake McCarthy (L)19.2%2.0 PA

3TJ Rumfield (L)21.6%2.0 PA

4Hunter Goodman (R)28.3%2.0 PA

5Mickey Moniak (L)22.5%2.0 PA

6Ezequiel Tovar (R)24.4%2.0 PA

7Troy Johnston (L)21.9%2.0 PA

8Kyle Karros (R)25.5%2.0 PA

9Brenton Doyle (R)30.6%2.0 PA