ATL @ PHI Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, April 19, 2026

ATL

Atlanta Braves

4–2

Final

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 53°F CloudyWind 13 mph, L To R

Grant Holmes · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.3% K/BF

vs LHB21.4%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Trea Turner (R)21.7%3.0 PA

2Kyle Schwarber (L)26.9%3.0 PA

3Bryce Harper (L)18.8%3.0 PA

4Adolis García (R)26.7%3.0 PA

5Brandon Marsh (L)22.5%2.7 PA

6Alec Bohm (R)21.6%2.0 PA

7Bryson Stott (L)19.8%2.0 PA

8Rafael Marchán (L)19.7%2.0 PA

9Justin Crawford (L)22.1%2.0 PA

Andrew Painter · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.2% K/BF

vs LHB24.3%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)20.9%3.0 PA

2Drake Baldwin (L)20.7%3.0 PA

3Matt Olson (L)23.0%3.0 PA

4Austin Riley (R)24.6%3.0 PA

5Ozzie Albies (L)19.4%2.3 PA

6Eli White (R)21.3%2.0 PA

7Dominic Smith (L)17.5%2.0 PA

8Mauricio Dubón (R)17.2%2.0 PA

9Michael Harris II (L)21.7%2.0 PA