Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Sunday, April 19, 2026)?

MacKenzie Gore (TEX) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against SEA. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Sunday, April 19, 2026: MacKenzie Gore (~6.4 K), Jacob Misiorowski (~6.5 K), Kevin Gausman (~6.2 K), Joey Cantillo (~5.9 K), Garrett Crochet (~5.4 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Sunday, April 19, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Sunday, April 19, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Final · 0–3

SFaway

WSHhomeTop matchup71 Final · 3–6

TBaway

PIThomeTop matchup50 Final · 0–7

KCaway

NYYhomeTop matchup70 Final · 4–8

BALaway

CLEhomeTop matchup81 Final · 3–5

MILaway

MIAhomeTop matchup95 Final · 7–5

STLaway

HOUhomeTop matchup56 Final · 7–4

CINaway

MINhomeTop matchup68 Final · 1–2

NYMaway

CHChomeTop matchup43 Final · 6–9

LADaway

COLhomeTop matchup71 Final · 7–4

CWSaway

ATHhomeTop matchup63 Final · 2–1

SDaway

LAAhomeTop matchup69 Final · 2–5

TEXaway

SEAhomeTop matchup100 Final · 10–4

TORaway

AZhomeTop matchup93 Final · 6–2

DETaway

BOShomeTop matchup72 Final · 4–2

ATLaway

PHIhomeTop matchup56

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.7% K/BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB29.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Luke Raley (L)24.0%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (R)24.8%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.0%3.0

4. Randy Arozarena (R)23.4%3.0

5. Mitch Garver (R)22.8%2.4

6. Connor Joe (R)24.2%2.0

7. J.P. Crawford (L)21.6%2.0

8. Cole Young (L)19.2%2.0

9. Leo Rivas (R)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate30.5% K/BF

vs LHB33.2%

vs RHB23.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jakob Marsee (L)19.9%3.0

2. Xavier Edwards (L)16.0%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)21.1%3.0

4. Kyle Stowers (L)31.1%3.0

5. Agustín Ramírez (R)22.7%2.7

6. Liam Hicks (L)15.8%2.0

7. Connor Norby (R)24.8%2.0

8. Owen Caissie (L)29.5%2.0

9. Javier Sanoja (R)17.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.9% K/BF

vs LHB25.1%

vs RHB24.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)21.2%3.0

2. Jorge Barrosa (L)29.3%3.0

3. Jose Fernandez (R)24.9%3.0

4. Aramis Garcia (R)25.9%3.0

5. Adrian Del Castillo (L)25.7%2.7

6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)16.5%2.0

7. Tim Tawa (R)21.9%2.0

8. James McCann (R)26.8%2.0

9. Alek Thomas (L)24.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.5% K/BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB26.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)19.8%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)24.5%3.0

3. Pete Alonso (R)24.1%3.0

4. Leody Taveras (R)24.9%3.0

5. Jeremiah Jackson (R)23.1%2.1

6. Dylan Beavers (L)19.0%2.0

7. Coby Mayo (R)23.0%2.0

8. Sam Huff (R)22.5%2.0

9. Colton Cowser (L)26.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.5% K/BF

vs LHB20.5%

vs RHB25.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Kerry Carpenter (L)24.1%3.0

2. Gleyber Torres (R)20.0%3.0

3. Matt Vierling (R)20.4%3.0

4. Dillon Dingler (R)21.3%3.0

5. Riley Greene (L)24.1%3.0

6. Wenceel Pérez (R)19.1%2.0

7. Spencer Torkelson (R)22.7%2.0

8. Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.6%2.0

9. Javier Báez (R)20.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.4% K/BF

vs LHB22.9%

vs RHB25.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)24.1%3.0

2. Curtis Mead (R)17.6%3.0

3. Brady House (R)24.4%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)23.8%3.0

5. Jacob Young (R)18.9%2.7

6. Joey Wiemer (R)26.8%2.0

7. Luis García Jr. (L)22.1%2.0

8. Nasim Nuñez (R)22.2%2.0

9. Keibert Ruiz (R)20.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.4% K/BF

vs LHB20.3%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Edouard Julien (L)25.4%3.0

2. Mickey Moniak (L)22.6%3.0

3. Hunter Goodman (R)26.9%3.0

4. Tyler Freeman (R)19.0%3.0

5. Ezequiel Tovar (R)24.0%2.5

6. Troy Johnston (L)23.2%2.0

7. Willi Castro (L)27.9%2.0

8. Kyle Karros (R)22.5%2.0

9. Brenton Doyle (R)27.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.4% K/BF

vs LHB29.2%

vs RHB23.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)18.0%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)18.0%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)25.4%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)19.3%3.0

5. Lane Thomas (R)19.6%2.8

6. Starling Marte (R)24.5%2.0

7. Isaac Collins (R)26.2%2.0

8. Michael Massey (L)24.0%2.0

9. Elias Díaz (R)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.1% K/BF

vs LHB21.2%

vs RHB23.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)26.1%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)21.6%3.0

3. Nolan Schanuel (L)18.1%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)26.6%3.0

5. Yoán Moncada (L)26.4%3.0

6. Jo Adell (R)23.1%2.1

7. Oswald Peraza (R)21.4%2.0

8. Vaughn Grissom (R)19.0%2.0

9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)24.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.9% K/BF

vs LHB18.6%

vs RHB22.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. P.J. Higgins (R)23.7%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)25.7%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (L)25.5%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)20.4%3.0

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)23.0%2.4

6. Spencer Steer (R)25.5%2.0

7. Will Benson (L)25.5%2.0

8. Rece Hinds (R)24.8%2.0

9. Dane Myers (R)19.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.9% K/BF

vs LHB18.6%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Chase Meidroth (R)21.4%3.0

2. Miguel Vargas (R)19.5%3.0

3. Munetaka Murakami (L)27.7%3.0

4. Everson Pereira (R)25.3%3.0

5. Edgar Quero (R)21.3%2.9

6. Colson Montgomery (L)24.6%2.0

7. Sam Antonacci (L)20.8%2.0

8. Derek Hill (R)23.7%2.0

9. Tristan Peters (L)24.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.1% K/BF

vs LHB22.9%

vs RHB21.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Garrett Mitchell (L)29.3%3.0

2. Brice Turang (L)21.8%3.0

3. Joey Ortiz (R)21.8%3.0

4. William Contreras (R)15.8%3.0

5. Luis Rengifo (L)18.7%2.9

6. Brandon Lockridge (R)20.7%2.0

7. Blake Perkins (L)27.7%2.0

8. Sal Frelick (L)17.0%2.0

9. David Hamilton (L)20.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.3% K/BF

vs LHB21.4%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)21.7%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)26.9%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)18.8%3.0

4. Adolis García (R)26.7%3.0

5. Brandon Marsh (L)22.5%2.7

6. Alec Bohm (R)21.6%2.0

7. Bryson Stott (L)19.8%2.0

8. Rafael Marchán (L)19.7%2.0

9. Justin Crawford (L)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.8% K/BF

vs LHB17.2%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)18.4%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)16.8%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)15.3%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)25.4%3.0

5. Ramón Urías (R)18.8%3.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)21.7%2.9

7. José Fermín (R)22.2%2.0

8. Pedro Pagés (R)20.5%2.0

9. Thomas Saggese (R)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.9% K/BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.6%3.0

2. Corey Seager (L)22.5%3.0

3. Wyatt Langford (R)21.8%3.0

4. Jake Burger (R)24.6%3.0

5. Joc Pederson (L)23.5%3.0

6. Josh Jung (R)19.3%2.4

7. Evan Carter (L)20.7%2.0

8. Josh Smith (L)18.3%2.0

9. Kyle Higashioka (R)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.5% K/BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nathan Lukes (L)17.8%3.0

2. Ernie Clement (R)15.0%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)17.7%3.0

4. Jesús Sánchez (L)20.9%3.0

5. Eloy Jiménez (R)22.6%2.5

6. Andrés Giménez (L)18.9%2.0

7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)29.6%2.0

8. Myles Straw (R)17.1%2.0

9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.8% K/BF

vs LHB23.8%

vs RHB20.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Steven Kwan (L)17.4%3.0

2. Angel Martínez (R)17.3%3.0

3. José Ramírez (R)16.2%3.0

4. Rhys Hoskins (R)24.6%3.0

5. David Fry (R)24.4%3.0

6. Daniel Schneemann (L)23.0%2.5

7. Juan Brito (R)25.8%2.0

8. Austin Hedges (R)20.0%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (R)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.2% K/BF

vs LHB24.3%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)20.9%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)20.7%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)23.0%3.0

4. Austin Riley (R)24.6%3.0

5. Ozzie Albies (L)19.4%2.3

6. Eli White (R)21.3%2.0

7. Dominic Smith (L)17.5%2.0

8. Mauricio Dubón (R)17.2%2.0

9. Michael Harris II (L)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.0% K/BF

vs LHB21.6%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.9 BF

Expected batters faced20.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ben Rice (L)25.4%3.0

2. Aaron Judge (R)24.3%3.0

3. Cody Bellinger (L)18.7%2.9

4. Paul Goldschmidt (R)20.8%2.0

5. Trent Grisham (L)22.3%2.0

6. Amed Rosario (R)17.8%2.0

7. Austin Wells (L)21.7%2.0

8. José Caballero (R)26.1%2.0

9. Ryan McMahon (L)24.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.1% K/BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jake Mangum (R)18.0%3.0

2. Nick Gonzales (R)23.9%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (R)22.8%3.0

4. Marcell Ozuna (R)21.7%3.0

5. Oneil Cruz (L)25.0%2.1

6. Nick Yorke (R)22.2%2.0

7. Konnor Griffin (R)26.6%2.0

8. Joey Bart (R)28.6%2.0

9. Spencer Horwitz (L)22.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.4% K/BF

vs LHB23.6%

vs RHB20.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jacob Wilson (R)17.3%3.0

2. Shea Langeliers (R)24.3%3.0

3. Nick Kurtz (L)28.0%3.0

4. Carlos Cortes (L)20.0%3.0

5. Max Muncy (R)25.4%2.7

6. Tyler Soderstrom (L)24.8%2.0

7. Darell Hernaiz (R)20.1%2.0

8. Lawrence Butler (L)25.7%2.0

9. Jeff McNeil (L)16.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.9% K/BF

vs LHB18.8%

vs RHB19.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Tommy Pham (R)24.5%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)21.7%3.0

3. Francisco Lindor (L)21.6%3.0

4. Luis Robert Jr. (R)24.0%3.0

5. MJ Melendez (L)26.3%2.9

6. Mark Vientos (R)24.8%2.0

7. Tyrone Taylor (R)21.4%2.0

8. Marcus Semien (R)19.7%2.0

9. Luis Torrens (R)19.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.5% K/BF

vs LHB21.6%

vs RHB17.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)24.2%3.0

2. Austin Martin (R)23.5%3.0

3. Josh Bell (L)20.8%3.0

4. Victor Caratini (L)18.1%3.0

5. Kody Clemens (L)27.3%2.3

6. Luke Keaschall (R)18.6%2.0

7. Ryan Jeffers (R)22.6%2.0

8. Brooks Lee (L)19.5%2.0

9. James Outman (L)30.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.8% K/BF

vs LHB19.0%

vs RHB18.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)22.7%3.0

2. Kyle Tucker (L)19.6%3.0

3. Will Smith (R)17.0%3.0

4. Max Muncy (L)26.2%2.3

5. Andy Pages (R)25.3%2.0

6. Dalton Rushing (L)25.6%2.0

7. Ryan Ward (L)22.0%2.0

8. Hyeseong Kim (L)25.0%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)26.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.9% K/BF

vs LHB16.9%

vs RHB22.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Chandler Simpson (L)13.3%3.0

2. Junior Caminero (R)23.3%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)22.3%3.0

4. Yandy Díaz (R)15.3%3.0

5. Cedric Mullins (L)21.1%2.8

6. Richie Palacios (L)16.8%2.0

7. Jonny DeLuca (R)18.2%2.0

8. Hunter Feduccia (L)26.1%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (L)23.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.3% K/BF

vs LHB21.7%

vs RHB15.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.0 BF

Expected batters faced24.0

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Roman Anthony (L)24.0%3.0

2. Andruw Monasterio (R)21.6%3.0

3. Willson Contreras (R)23.0%3.0

4. Trevor Story (R)24.9%3.0

5. Wilyer Abreu (L)20.6%3.0

6. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.2%3.0

7. Caleb Durbin (R)17.8%2.0

8. Masataka Yoshida (L)20.3%2.0

9. Marcelo Mayer (L)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.8% K/BF

vs LHB22.2%

vs RHB17.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Carlos Correa (R)21.2%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)18.1%3.0

3. Jose Altuve (R)23.1%3.0

4. Christian Walker (R)21.1%3.0

5. Brice Matthews (R)29.3%3.0

6. Cam Smith (R)23.1%2.2

7. Yainer Diaz (R)19.5%2.0

8. Dustin Harris (L)21.8%2.0

9. Taylor Trammell (L)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB20.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.9 BF

Expected batters faced19.9

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness19.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ramón Laureano (R)22.9%3.0

2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)20.2%2.9

3. Jackson Merrill (L)20.1%2.0

4. Manny Machado (R)21.3%2.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)16.3%2.0

6. Ty France (R)17.1%2.0

7. Miguel Andujar (R)18.3%2.0

8. Jake Cronenworth (L)22.4%2.0

9. Freddy Fermin (R)20.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.1% K/BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB19.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.6 BF

Expected batters faced16.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)12.9%2.0

2. Michael Busch (L)24.5%2.0

3. Alex Bregman (R)16.8%2.0

4. Caleb Thielbar (R)22.0%2.0

5. Seiya Suzuki (R)24.7%2.0

6. Michael Conforto (L)25.0%2.0

7. Carson Kelly (R)18.3%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)21.8%1.6

9. Dansby Swanson (R)21.1%1.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF

vs LHB23.8%

vs RHB18.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.7 BF

Expected batters faced13.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection2.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)23.0%2.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)15.6%2.0

3. Matt Chapman (R)22.7%2.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)24.7%2.0

5. Casey Schmitt (R)23.2%1.7

6. Jerar Encarnacion (R)22.0%1.0

7. Heliot Ramos (R)25.8%1.0

8. Drew Gilbert (L)24.6%1.0

9. Daniel Susac (R)18.5%1.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Sunday, April 19, 2026

MacKenzie Gore (TEX) is the top strikeout start on the Sunday, April 19, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K, with Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: MacKenzie Gore

MacKenzie Gore (TEX) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against SEA. He's missing bats at a 29% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and SEA has been around league average, going down 23% of the time. He's lined up for about 22 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) (95) — about 6.5 K vs MIA: a 31% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Kevin Gausman (TOR) (93) — about 6.2 K vs AZ: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Joey Cantillo (CLE) (81) — about 5.9 K vs BAL: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Garrett Crochet (BOS) (72) — about 5.4 K vs DET: a 23% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Robbie Ray (SF) (71) — about 5.6 K vs WSH: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

COL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Roki Sasaki is the arm to exploit it (71).
AZ is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Kevin Gausman is the arm to exploit it (93).
CIN is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Bailey Ober is the arm to exploit it (68).
PIT is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Shane McClanahan is the arm to exploit it (50).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 6.5 strikeouts. Top play MacKenzie Gore punched out 5. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) blends his strikeout rate against every hitter in the lineup — hand by hand, combined the log5 way — then scales by how deep he's been going (expected batters faced) and his command (K-BB%). Higher means more whiffs point his way. We project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Sunday, April 19, 2026)?: MacKenzie Gore (TEX) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against SEA. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Sunday, April 19, 2026: MacKenzie Gore (~6.4 K), Jacob Misiorowski (~6.5 K), Kevin Gausman (~6.2 K), Joey Cantillo (~5.9 K), Garrett Crochet (~5.4 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Sunday, April 19, 2026?: MacKenzie Gore punched out 5.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.