MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Tuesday, April 21, 2026

STL @ MIA Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, April 21, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
53
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

STL Dustin May · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF

vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jakob Marsee (L)21.2%3.0 PA
2Kyle Stowers (L)22.7%3.0 PA
3Otto Lopez (R)19.2%3.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)16.5%3.0 PA
5Liam Hicks (L)15.0%2.7 PA
6Agustín Ramírez (R)22.6%2.0 PA
7Javier Sanoja (R)17.1%2.0 PA
8Heriberto Hernández (R)21.8%2.0 PA
9Connor Norby (R)27.0%2.0 PA

MIA Chris Paddack · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.4% K/BF

vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)20.5%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)17.6%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)16.2%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)26.9%3.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)27.0%2.6 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)22.7%2.0 PA
7Nathan Church (L)24.7%2.0 PA
8Pedro Pagés (R)20.0%2.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)25.0%2.0 PA