PHI @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, April 21, 2026

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

4–7

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 72°F Partly CloudyWind 3 mph, Out To RF

Jesús Luzardo · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.0% K/BF

vs LHB23.2%

vs RHB26.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Nico Hoerner (R)18.2%3.0 PA

2Alex Bregman (R)21.1%3.0 PA

3Ian Happ (R)25.1%3.0 PA

4Seiya Suzuki (R)20.5%3.0 PA

5Carson Kelly (R)19.6%3.0 PA

6Michael Busch (L)19.2%2.5 PA

7Dansby Swanson (R)24.5%2.0 PA

8Scott Kingery (R)24.2%2.0 PA

9Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)27.5%2.0 PA

Shota Imanaga · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate31.0% K/BF

vs LHB30.6%

vs RHB26.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Trea Turner (R)18.0%3.0 PA

2Kyle Schwarber (L)28.4%3.0 PA

3Bryce Harper (L)21.2%3.0 PA

4Felix Reyes (R)22.0%3.0 PA

5Adolis García (R)21.0%2.2 PA

6J.T. Realmuto (R)20.8%2.0 PA

7Alec Bohm (R)17.7%2.0 PA

8Brandon Marsh (L)27.1%2.0 PA

9Edmundo Sosa (R)22.8%2.0 PA