BOS @ BAL Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, April 26, 2026

BOS

Boston Red Sox

5–3

Final

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 53°F Partly CloudyWind 14 mph, In From LF

Connelly Early · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.8% K/BF

vs LHB24.1%

vs RHB21.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Taylor Ward (R)18.5%3.0 PA

2Gunnar Henderson (L)25.5%3.0 PA

3Adley Rutschman (R)18.6%3.0 PA

4Pete Alonso (R)24.9%3.0 PA

5Tyler O'Neill (R)23.6%2.4 PA

6Samuel Basallo (L)21.1%2.0 PA

7Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.8%2.0 PA

8Dylan Beavers (L)20.5%2.0 PA

9Coby Mayo (R)23.3%2.0 PA

Kyle Bradish · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.2% K/BF

vs LHB26.2%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jarren Duran (L)24.1%3.0 PA

2Willson Contreras (R)27.8%3.0 PA

3Roman Anthony (L)23.4%3.0 PA

4Wilyer Abreu (L)22.1%3.0 PA

5Ceddanne Rafaela (R)18.8%3.0 PA

6Marcelo Mayer (L)19.2%2.0 PA

7Caleb Durbin (R)15.6%2.0 PA

8Connor Wong (R)19.7%2.0 PA

9Andruw Monasterio (R)22.3%2.0 PA