STL @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Monday, April 27, 2026

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

4–2

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 72°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, In From CF

Dustin May · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.6% K/BF

vs LHB20.1%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Billy Cook (R)24.4%3.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)20.8%3.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)24.4%3.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.6%3.0 PA

5Marcell Ozuna (R)27.3%2.7 PA

6Nick Gonzales (R)17.5%2.0 PA

7Konnor Griffin (R)25.5%2.0 PA

8Jake Mangum (L)21.5%2.0 PA

9Henry Davis (R)20.0%2.0 PA

Mason Montgomery · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate29.8% K/BF

vs LHB29.2%

vs RHB26.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.5 BF

Expected batters faced13.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1JJ Wetherholt (L)21.0%2.0 PA

2Victor Scott II (L)21.1%2.0 PA

3Alec Burleson (L)19.4%2.0 PA

4Jordan Walker (R)27.1%2.0 PA

5George Soriano (R)22.0%1.5 PA

6Masyn Winn (R)20.3%1.0 PA

7Nathan Church (L)22.1%1.0 PA

8Ramón Urías (R)21.7%1.0 PA

9Pedro Pagés (R)24.4%1.0 PA