SEA @ MIN Strikeouts matchups · Monday, April 27, 2026

SEA

Seattle Mariners

4–11

Final

MIN

Minnesota Twins

◆ Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 51°F OvercastWind 13 mph, Out To RF

Luis Castillo · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.3% K/BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Byron Buxton (R)26.0%3.0 PA

2Brooks Lee (L)19.9%3.0 PA

3James Outman (L)25.9%3.0 PA

4Josh Bell (L)19.2%3.0 PA

5Ryan Jeffers (R)21.9%2.5 PA

6Kody Clemens (L)26.0%2.0 PA

7Luke Keaschall (R)19.1%2.0 PA

8Matt Wallner (L)26.6%2.0 PA

9Tristan Gray (L)24.6%2.0 PA

Connor Prielipp · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.4% K/BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB26.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Rob Refsnyder (R)21.7%3.0 PA

2Cal Raleigh (R)23.2%3.0 PA

3Julio Rodríguez (R)20.2%3.0 PA

4Josh Naylor (L)21.6%3.0 PA

5Randy Arozarena (R)20.7%2.3 PA

6J.P. Crawford (L)20.5%2.0 PA

7Mitch Garver (R)22.3%2.0 PA

8Cole Young (L)19.6%2.0 PA

9Leo Rivas (R)22.7%2.0 PA