AZ @ MIL Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

2–13

Final

MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

◆ American Family FieldElevation 597 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 67°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Merrill Kelly · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.5% K/BF

vs LHB19.6%

vs RHB21.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Greg Jones (L)25.4%3.0 PA

2William Contreras (R)15.7%3.0 PA

3Luis Rengifo (L)16.5%3.0 PA

4Tyler Black (L)24.4%3.0 PA

5Jake Bauers (L)23.2%3.0 PA

6Brandon Lockridge (R)23.7%2.4 PA

7Blake Perkins (L)26.8%2.0 PA

8David Hamilton (L)22.2%2.0 PA

9Joey Ortiz (R)20.8%2.0 PA

Chad Patrick · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.1% K/BF

vs LHB16.9%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Ildemaro Vargas (L)15.6%3.0 PA

2Jorge Barrosa (L)29.6%3.0 PA

3Aramis Garcia (R)23.8%3.0 PA

4Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)18.2%2.4 PA

5Adrian Del Castillo (L)24.6%2.0 PA

6Jose Fernandez (R)22.4%2.0 PA

7Tim Tawa (R)21.8%2.0 PA

8Alek Thomas (L)21.2%2.0 PA

9James McCann (R)25.7%2.0 PA