STL @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, April 30, 2026

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

10–5

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 46°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, Out To CF

Hunter Dobbins · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.3% K/BF

vs LHB17.8%

vs RHB19.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Oneil Cruz (L)29.0%3.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)22.1%3.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)24.6%3.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)19.6%3.0 PA

5Nick Gonzales (R)18.5%3.0 PA

6Spencer Horwitz (L)17.1%2.0 PA

7Konnor Griffin (R)24.2%2.0 PA

8Jake Mangum (L)22.4%2.0 PA

9Nick Yorke (R)20.5%2.0 PA

Paul Skenes · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.8% K/BF

vs LHB27.4%

vs RHB23.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1JJ Wetherholt (L)19.2%3.0 PA

2Iván Herrera (R)18.3%3.0 PA

3Alec Burleson (L)17.5%3.0 PA

4Jordan Walker (R)29.2%2.0 PA

5Nolan Gorman (L)26.8%2.0 PA

6Masyn Winn (R)22.2%2.0 PA

7Nathan Church (L)23.0%2.0 PA

8Pedro Pagés (R)20.4%2.0 PA

9Victor Scott II (L)27.4%2.0 PA