COL @ CIN Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, April 30, 2026

COL

Colorado Rockies

4–6

Final

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 54°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, Out To RF

Michael Lorenzen · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.9% K/BF

vs LHB17.7%

vs RHB18.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1TJ Friedl (L)21.4%3.0 PA

2Matt McLain (R)26.9%3.0 PA

3Elly De La Cruz (L)26.0%3.0 PA

4Sal Stewart (R)20.6%2.7 PA

5Nathaniel Lowe (L)20.1%2.0 PA

6Tyler Stephenson (R)28.1%2.0 PA

7Dane Myers (R)21.9%2.0 PA

8Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)19.6%2.0 PA

9Will Benson (L)24.4%2.0 PA

Andrew Abbott · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.2% K/BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB16.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Mickey Moniak (L)27.4%3.0 PA

2Jake McCarthy (L)21.9%3.0 PA

3Hunter Goodman (R)27.0%3.0 PA

4Tyler Freeman (R)18.2%3.0 PA

5Willi Castro (R)22.9%2.6 PA

6TJ Rumfield (L)18.9%2.0 PA

7Kyle Karros (R)24.4%2.0 PA

8Edouard Julien (L)25.0%2.0 PA

9Troy Johnston (L)20.5%2.0 PA