HOU @ BAL Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, April 30, 2026

HOU

Houston Astros

3–10

Final

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 63°F Partly CloudyWind 13 mph, L To R

Peter Lambert · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.1% K/BF

vs LHB27.7%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Gunnar Henderson (L)25.7%3.0 PA

2Taylor Ward (R)18.6%3.0 PA

3Adley Rutschman (L)19.2%3.0 PA

4Pete Alonso (R)23.1%3.0 PA

5Dylan Beavers (L)23.2%3.0 PA

6Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.6%2.2 PA

7Colton Cowser (L)28.7%2.0 PA

8Coby Mayo (R)26.5%2.0 PA

9Blaze Alexander (R)26.6%2.0 PA

Chris Bassitt · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.1% K/BF

vs LHB15.9%

vs RHB19.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Carlos Correa (R)21.0%3.0 PA

2Daniel Johnson (L)22.9%3.0 PA

3Shay Whitcomb (R)27.3%3.0 PA

4Christian Walker (R)20.4%3.0 PA

5Jose Altuve (R)20.6%2.5 PA

6Yainer Diaz (R)19.6%2.0 PA

7Brice Matthews (R)25.9%2.0 PA

8Dustin Harris (L)23.0%2.0 PA

9Christian Vázquez (R)18.7%2.0 PA