HOU @ BAL Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, April 30, 2026

HOU

Houston Astros

11–5

Final

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 65°F Partly CloudyWind 14 mph, Out To RF

Lance McCullers Jr. · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.8% K/BF

vs LHB21.0%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Blaze Alexander (R)26.6%3.0 PA

2Colton Cowser (L)28.7%3.0 PA

3Dylan Beavers (L)23.2%3.0 PA

4Coby Mayo (R)26.5%3.0 PA

5Samuel Basallo (L)21.5%2.5 PA

6Tyler O'Neill (R)22.7%2.0 PA

7Leody Taveras (L)20.5%2.0 PA

8Weston Wilson (R)22.6%2.0 PA

9Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.6%2.0 PA

Brandon Young · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.9% K/BF

vs LHB18.9%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Brice Matthews (R)25.9%3.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)14.2%3.0 PA

3Isaac Paredes (R)19.4%3.0 PA

4Christian Walker (R)20.4%3.0 PA

5Dustin Harris (L)23.0%2.7 PA

6Yainer Diaz (R)19.6%2.0 PA

7Cam Smith (R)25.4%2.0 PA

8Daniel Johnson (L)22.9%2.0 PA

9Braden Shewmake (L)21.7%2.0 PA