DET @ ATL Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, April 30, 2026

DET

Detroit Tigers

5–2

Final

ATL

Atlanta Braves

◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 62°F CloudyWind 9 mph, R To L

Framber Valdez · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.7% K/BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB21.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)24.8%3.0 PA

2Drake Baldwin (L)16.7%3.0 PA

3Ozzie Albies (R)13.9%3.0 PA

4Matt Olson (L)22.8%3.0 PA

5Austin Riley (R)20.5%3.0 PA

6Mauricio Dubón (R)19.4%2.7 PA

7Michael Harris II (L)18.9%2.0 PA

8Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.4%2.0 PA

9Dominic Smith (L)22.9%2.0 PA

Bryce Elder · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.8% K/BF

vs LHB20.3%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Kevin McGonigle (L)16.3%3.0 PA

2Gleyber Torres (R)17.7%3.0 PA

3Jahmai Jones (R)23.7%3.0 PA

4Riley Greene (L)24.9%3.0 PA

5Spencer Torkelson (R)26.8%3.0 PA

6Wenceel Pérez (L)18.3%2.6 PA

7Matt Vierling (R)21.1%2.0 PA

8Hao-Yu Lee (R)23.7%2.0 PA

9Dillon Dingler (R)20.0%2.0 PA