BAL @ NYY Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 1, 2026

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

2–7

Final

NYY

New York Yankees

◆ Yankee StadiumElevation 55 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 63°F ClearWind 15 mph, R To L

Cade Povich · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.4% K/BF

vs LHB20.1%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

NYY lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Paul Goldschmidt (R)22.2%3.0 PA

2Ben Rice (L)25.2%3.0 PA

3Aaron Judge (R)23.4%3.0 PA

4Cody Bellinger (L)16.9%3.0 PA

5Ryan McMahon (L)26.7%3.0 PA

6Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)23.2%2.2 PA

7José Caballero (R)25.3%2.0 PA

8Austin Wells (L)21.4%2.0 PA

9Trent Grisham (L)23.4%2.0 PA

Will Warren · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.9% K/BF

vs LHB26.7%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Gunnar Henderson (L)26.5%3.0 PA

2Taylor Ward (R)18.6%3.0 PA

3Adley Rutschman (L)18.6%3.0 PA

4Pete Alonso (R)22.6%3.0 PA

5Samuel Basallo (L)24.2%2.4 PA

6Dylan Beavers (L)25.0%2.0 PA

7Leody Taveras (L)20.8%2.0 PA

8Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.5%2.0 PA

9Blaze Alexander (R)24.9%2.0 PA